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CHAPTER 1 - Ranked Predictions for The Smoke Room Routes

(Originally published - Oct 2nd 2021)

Was thinking about this all day, and while I can't really make predictions about the precise way things in The Smoke Room are going to end, I think I can rank which routes are more likely that other to be the on e that does the thing that we know at least one of the routes is going to do because that's just the Kind Of Story This is.

So, fair warning, there may be spoilers here for The Smoke Room, since this analysis assumes one has played all the current public releases. Maybe a spoiler or two for Echo, as well, but that's been out for a while. And if you CARE about spoilers, and haven't read those, why are you even reading this?
Each route will be ranked, from most likely to least likely, with respect to each category.
 
Likelihood of Becoming an Antagonist:
Cliff - This is a call I'm making out of what we HAVEN'T seen from Cliff: true vulnerability. All the others have so far shown Sam what they look like with ALL their walls down, all their masks off--Nik's 'hold you forever' speech, Will's confession, Murdoch's current To Be Continued--but Cliff has not. The fact we haven't seen this from him, when we have from everyone else, seems suspicious. Add to this that his funding is likely from James 3, and his project is likely tied up with colonial violence against the Meseta, there's a real chance of him winding up in a "has no choice but to side against Sam" situation.
Will - Is clearly already both having the most hallucinations as the Hysteria builds, and seems to be slipping under Entity influence somewhat in Cliff's and Murdoch's route. Also, he's a cop, he has a gun, he's used to the idea that killing people is something he's allowed to do. There's no reason to set him to be this dangerous in case of Hysteria unless there's a decent chance of it actually paying off.
Nik - Level headed and deeply devoted to Sam, but has a worryingly Leo-like jealous/possessive streak and sudden temper. Would have to be pushed very far to be dangerous to Sam, but would be VERY dangerous if he was.
Murdoch - Being a threat, in the ways that could threaten Sam, isn't what he's about, as a character.
 

Likelihood of a Good Ending that involves a continued relationship with Sam:
Murdoch - The degree to which he's confided in Sam, and the depth of the trauma he's confided, and the loyalties that motivate him, means I don't think there's any credible ending where he escapes his family that he doesn't spend the rest of his life staying as close as possible to whoever was there with him when he did. Now, whether that's a blissfully happy relationship, since other routes really do seem to imply that Murdoch and Cliff are meant for eachother, is another question.
Nik - Has said that being with Sam forever is what he wants, and intends to do just that if he can seize the means. Only ranked lower than Murdoch due to a slightly higher chance of his being psychologically capable of saying goodbye, should the denouement deem it necessary.
Will - Difficult to call. Being the only route behind one update means that we have the least information about where his character arc is going. IF the rest of his story is more about his learning to be ok with loving SAM, specifically, then chances of their having a lasting relationship post-Good Ending increases. IF, on the other hand, his story is more about learning to be ok with who he is, not in relation to Sam but in relation to Nik, Murdoch, Cliff, Todd, et al. (ie. the hypothetical Poly Route) then likelihood increases of the Good Ending being some kind of bittersweet goodbye.
Cliff - Stated need to return to his university, and from there to Batavia, at an indefinite point in the future makes his long term presence less likely. Note also that in every route where Sam is not involved with either Cliff or Murdoch, the two of them become a couple almost automatically and immediately, which means Cliff is likely to have at least one other option, even in a 'Good' ending. Duke's ancestry, however, remains a serious question mark.

 

Likelihood of said Good Ending Relationship leaving Echo:
Murdoch - Ralph specifically claims that leaving Echo is what Murdoch needs, which lines up with Sam's goals. Given that Murdoch's arc would seem to involve his doing what he needs, rather than what his family needs, actually getting to do that would be a suitable payoff.
Nik - Escaping town with the gold was the plan. Discovery of 88883 may have altered that plan. A departure from Echo with Sam would also have less to do, thematically, with Nik's story than it would with Murdoch's.
Cliff - Assuming that the relationship involves leaving Echo actually significantly increases the chances of it lasting long term, in my opinion. Cliff, if forced to choose between Sam and Murdoch, or between Sam and his studies, would be I think significantly distressed. I'm not sure what he does. In a situation where Sam (and/or Murdoch) are leaving WITH him, I suspect Cliff is not only grateful to have been spared that choice, but is keenly aware of their now being outsiders in HIS world as he once was the outsider in theirs, and is likely to respond with loyalty and responsibility. Duke's ancestry, however, still remains a serious question mark.
Will - Will is the only one about whom no intentions of leaving Echo have ever been expressed. Given that his route may be about his long-delayed integration with Echo's queer community, it would make little sense, if so, for him to leave it behind. His route may also be about his coming out to his family, and if so it would also make little sense for him to leave THEM behind. Janice's ancestry is also a question mark, but less so than Duke, since Wilson (which is what I'm calling Will's Son) is already a teenager. Will COULD, theoretically leave and the future ontology of Wilson's descendants would be unchanged, whereas Duke's unknown parent has likely not yet been conceived.

Likelihood of Not Surviving their Bad Ending:

Nik - The extreme danger, both mundane and supernatural, of the mines has been repeatedly underlined, and this route has been, thusfar, the only one in which it is possible to be "killed" (if that's what happened) directly by any Entity. On top of which, the amount of peril, for both Nik and Sam, is only going to increase as the Hysteria overflows. Nik has been established to have significant self sacrificing tendencies, and to be more than reasonably concerned about Sam's safety. Any of the above reasons would be sufficient to make him the least likely to survive a Bad Ending.
Will - He has a gun, we've already seen he's not reluctant to use it, and it's going to be him that everyone looks to when the Hysteria breaks free. Could lead very naturally into his being killed in a riot. On the other hand, a Bad Ending might very well involve his going full Leo and murdering anyone else in the cast, including Sam. 
Cliff - Significant question marks here, regarding the beast, its motivations, what will happen at the reservation, whether the expedition will even return to Echo, whether the route will be affected by the Hysteria at all. Impossible to evaluate danger to Cliff's person when so little can be speculated about the remainder of his route. Worth noting that his being unused to the physical hardships of the environment has been somewhat mentioned. Also, see above remarks regarding Janice and Duke's ancestry, in which regard Will is more disposable than Cliff, with the Caveat that ANY of these routes may be timelines in which Janice or Duke are simply never born.
Murdoch - Direct threats to his life aren't really what his character arc is about. The threat hanging over his story is the relevation of other murders, of threats to other people's lives. Is perhaps the likeliest to suffer complete psychological collapse or permanent dissociation, but that's not what's being ranked here. Worth noting that the Voice does repeatedly prompt Sam to kill Murdoch for reasons as yet unknown. I would say Will, Cliff, and Murdoch, as far as can be told right now, are essentially tied for second place in this category.

Likelihood of Having 'the Worst' Bad Ending:
Nik - the "Hold You Forever" speech is perfect setup for a some kind of bitterly ironic tragedy. Whether that's Sam and Nik being buried in a mine collapse, such that their bodies are entombed in eachother's arms, or some other kind of tragic subversion. The preciousness and purity of Nik's love for Sam has been built up very high, and the fall from heights is likely to be dizzyingly precipitous.
Murdoch - He's already hit levels of pain that some Echo routes reached only at their very worst, and he did it nowhere near the hysteria, just by sitting and talking to Sam in a dressing room. I rank him lower than Nik only because there's a possibility that was already the suffering climax, and that his Bad ending might in fact be less intense in terms of sting.
Cliff - Impossible to say, we don't yet know enough to make a really educated guess what his bad ending might even be. Perhaps worth noting that this is the only route that has had anything that could hypothetically become foreshadowing for Sam being executed for Jack's murder after all, in the hallucination of being hanged that the Entity inflicts on Sam while he's unconscious after the Beast's attack.
Will - Will's issues are familiar enough, and on display enough, that while his Bad Ending is likely to have a high body count it's unlikely to be a surprise. There is an inevitability to Will such that, while his good ending (if he has one) is likely to take even him by surprise, his bad ending may very well be said, even in-text to be something "that was always going to end this way, I suppose." There's plenty of potential for fear and violence, but less for outright Sorrow.

CHAPTER 2 - TSR Theory Time (Will's Theme)

(Originally published - Nov 11, 2021)

On the two themes that Will's route has been developing. I think I see them crossing over:

"Tells, ie, nonvoluntary biological actions as revealing truth"

There's a lot of things that fit. The poker game, of course, and how insistent Will is on using it to teach Sam to read people.

There the "remind him of his heartbeat" choice, which sees Sam comforting Will not with words, but by using his heartbeat, and implicitly the rest of his appetites, to bring him back to himself.

The scene of Todd asking Sam about male/male sex, how he smells "very ottery," his use of incense to try and cover it, and the way William knows from the fact that steps have been taken to cover up a smell that there WAS a smell to be covered, and deduces what it was without bothering to bring it up.

There's the scene after the powder room séance: Sam is being helped out of the room by Harlan, Dora opens the trunk, Sam's narration comments that 'we stop for a moment,' and then Dora has a short satisfied laugh of realization: from the fact that Harlan reflexively froze when she got the trunk open, she now knows it's his.

Will's persistent erection, while drying on the shore after the cave misadventure. It's repeatedly mentioned in terms of "if anyone sees us they'll know." Also it comes back in reaction to Sam's otherwise non-sexual compliment.

A lot of Will's bondage and degradation kink counts, as it emphasizes base bodily functions, but especially relevant is his apparent exhibitionist fantasies! (which certainly put his erections while drying off after the cave investigation in a new light, as well as need to be "Whiffed") He's imagining himself as having the ultimate tell, the ultimate situation of having all his masks ripped away by the basest possible desire, and he LIKES that. He wants, not just to come clean, but to have his bluff called. To be READ.

It's worth pointing out that Cliff is neurodivergent. and a very common effect of this, in real life, is that tells and body language are much less readable. This plays into how, through Will's eyes, he looks suspicious. All the things that make Will suspicious of him are the things that, in real life, tend to be cited as reasons why neurotypical people find neurodivergent people suspicious or offputting.

Many other things are all nicely in the context of will's investigation: James doesn't react to his bleeding, proving him not as incompetent as we thought him. Franz can't read will even when will's explicitly laying his cards on the table. Fucking EVERYTHING that Kane says and does is pure innuendo. Will reads what Porter's really saying with the price he offers, rather than taking the question at face value, and Porter respects him for it.

Will doesn't SAY he cares about Sam, he brings him a sandwich. His expression of love is taking care of his nonvoluntary physical appetite. Note this implicitly puts Sam into the position Hattie once tried, and failed to occupy

Notable that Will completely FAILS to read Chang's Cock Prank... because he just doesn't speak mandarin at all.

Notice also that Hattie and Andy both fail to read Will, even though he makes no effort to conceal himself from them. Which leads into the other theme...

"Sorting who is and is not really family."

For all they disagree on, Will, Hattie, and Andy all seem to agree on one thing: they don't fit as a family. Hattie demands explanations she then refuses to grasp, Will just wants them both gone, Andy is stubborn about how much they don't need Will. Will explains that his son is a stranger to him, that trying to play the loving husband nearly drove him to suicide, and when we meet them we can see perfectly plainly why they aren't, and never could have been, a family.

Contrast how determined Will is to fully and thoroughly explain himself to Sam, all through their VERY intense sex. He's doing everything he can to explain that they are of the same kind, that they belong together, that he wishes they could be seen to belong together. Note how frequently he puts things in terms of their shared nature. Compare this to the way Sam refers to the poker night as "a whole table of mine," by which he means queer men.

While there are a myriad of possible paths through Will's latest update, they resolve, mostly, into two main routes, the night at the Stag route, and the night at the library route. Both can reveal important info, though for our purposes, one reveals where Will DOES belong, and the other reveals where Ethyl DOESN'T. Talk to Dimitri, Paul, and Felipe at the Stag, and Will is brought closer to his natural allies: notable that this is the route that involves doing something to repair Nik's hurt feelings about Sam and heal the breach in Will's core found family. Talk to Porter at the library, and you'll then be able to confront Ethyl with the knowledge that she's betraying the hip, her found family, to James.

Recall, also, that Sam's explanation to Todd, earlier in the route, made the distinction between his relations with women "just a job" as opposed to with men--and this is the route where Sam's narration calls such men "one of mine"--in terms of his own nonvoluntary bodily reactions.

Note that the perspective change allows up, for the first time, to see Sam from outside his own perspective. Todd's description of him as 'preacherlike' is apt. To anyone he hasn't opened up to, he's grim and taciturn and you can 100% buy that he's one day going to Haunt a Journalism Major. you can buy that he killed Jack. But you can also buy that every male attracted person in Echo is obsessed with him. The interior Sam and the exterior Sam are VERY different stories: note William says he doesn't like to smile because it makes people nervous, but he specifies He specifies that SAM doesn't have that problem. The difference between the "Cheifest Velveteen Homo" Himbo that we as a fan community know and the Liminally Gaunt Murder Spectre to be is maybe where the two themes overlap, even more so than Hattie and Andy: family, in the end, is who you let read the real you, who proves to be able to read the real you.

Which where the themes intersect: "Whiff it" is not just indulging Will's defilement kink, he needs Sam to know him, and by knowing him to acknowledge they are eachothers'. Will can read the real Sam even better than Sam himself: he can see the 'sweet enough to thaw winter' real Sam beyond the frosty exterior, and when Sam confesses, Will knows it was self defense even when Sam himself doesn't.

But Echo (or The Entity or the Hum or whatever term) cannot: the version of Sam we see in Echo, the ghost that posesses Chase and torments Flynn and finally confesses it's 'just a simulation' is the cold, grim, taciturn, haunting version that those who cannot read him see. "Thou thoughtest that I was altogether such an one as thyself: but I will reprove thee."

Will can see the real Sam better than Echo itself can.

Speculation: Given the above, I have to assume that being found by Harlan, after he's been reprimanded by Dora, is going to turn out VERY bad. Whatever it is he's doing, he is NOT someone who should be allowed to 'read' Sam.

CHAPTER 3 - Your TSR Theory Update: Murdoch's Theme

(Originally published - Apr 12, 2022)

With the latest update to The Smoke Room, I think I have enough to start articulating Murdoch's route theme: it's about one's authentic self getting lost in, or disappearing altogether under, the masks that one wears to deal with life and time and disappointment, especially as regards other's expectations.

Most clearly articulated in the phrase from his confession: "I don't know who I am when there isn't someone to lie to or perform for."

Points include, but surely are not limited to:

--The initial sexual encounter, just after the route split. Though we learn later that Murdoch is desperate for authentic love--suicidally desperate for it in fact--he still maintains the facade of the 'bet' all the way through. The first hint he allows Sam that there is anything genuine is the next morning, when he refuses to collect on his victory. Note at the beginning of the encounter Murdoch confesses he forgets to take off his camera, the instrument that produces the masks that his subjects present of themselves, to deal with life and time and disappointment, especially as regards other's expectations.

-- The things Murdoch explains in his dressing room breakdown, of course. That he doesn't know who he is apart from the roles he plays for others. That he only feels like himself with the aid of overwork, drugs, or sex. Note especially that Murdoch genuinely had not realized till now that his "snap back to emotionless calm from anger or sadness" thing ISN'T normal, and isn't something everyone does.

-- Holly's calm facade. As Dahlia points out, she doesn't seem particularly excited or nervous about the coming marriage. It's possible she's applied her "weed out the imperfections" approach to life to herself to such a degree that she kinda doesn't have it in her to be excited or nervous. Note both her citing the Jane Eyre passage about how we can't be ourselves when we're performing other's expectations, especially the word 'automaton,' as her favorite, but also the MacBeth passage she's teaching when we first see her: about Lady MacBeth shedding her Self so that she can assume the role of killer, which the text explicitly mentions as 'unnatural.' It's been theorized that she's cracking under the weight of parental expectation.
It's also possible she simply intends to leave, and intends for Jim to be nothing more than her ticket out of town, in which case the Dutiful Bride is in fact the role she is playing, and her coercing Murdoch to sleep with Jim is just a way of maintaining that facade.

-- The tangle of Jim. Note that it relies on both Holly and Murdoch EACH maintaining a front BOTH to the other AND to Jim. Murdoch must both pretend to Jim that this wasn't Holly's idea and to Holly that he's fine with this. Holly must pretend to Jim that Murdoch is into the idea and to Murdoch that marriage to Jim is WORTH this. It'd be laughable if it weren't so horrific, in that Jim clearly doesn't care. He's not bothered about whether Murdoch is consenting, and he clearly isn't taking the marriage seriously in the first place even with Murdoch's 'cooperation.' The quadruple charade fools no one and accomplishes nothing.

-- Dahlia, Murdoch's apparent sole ally in his family, is only capable/willing to do this alliance in the form of cryptic puzzles, such much so that her goal or goals in doing so are still fully a mystery to the readership.

-- Note how Gretchen treats Sam on first meeting him. She jumps to conclusions about Murdoch 'failing' and when Sam tells her the truth she assumes he's lying to spare Murdoch's feelings. She then produces a costume, makes Sam put it on, and insists that the false 'handsome man' version of him she's just invented by doing so is in fact the authentic version of him that was 'hiding.' Establishes right away that she insists the 'respectable' version of someone (and SHE gets to decide what is and it not respectable) is therefore the 'true' version of them. She's the one who's cited as disinheriting Murdoch over his failure to be 'a respectable man.'
Note also that the thing she values, in the persona's she pressures others into adopting, is 'respectability,' so the valued quality she insists on sacrificing her children for is not even about HER expectations, but about the expectations she presumes everyone else to have. (It should be noted that this is often a common element in parental emotional abuse, of queer children especially, ie: "We don't have a problem with you, but what would the neighbors/the church/grandma think? So we're not homophobic, we're just protecting you from the homophobia we assume other people would do to you by doing it ourselves!" This may suggest that Gretchen's 'respectability' obsession is partly a rationalization that she thinks justifies her suppression of any part of her children's personality she doesn't not happen to like.)
In a bit of tragic irony, Gretchen's herself also lost in her "stern upholder of respectability" role. She lets it drop, just a little, to let the reader see that the version of her Murdoch remembers is still in there somewhere, at the end of the current update when she tries to get to know Sam. Perhaps because she's noticed that "this is the first time my son's sleeping with a man who fits my expectations for what a man ought to be." Perhaps because she's dimly aware that all her children to one degree or another want nothing to do with her and she's desperately lonely. But the persona she's lost in is the one that forced the masks that Holly, Dahlia, and Murdoch are lost in onto them in the first place, so she's got nobody to blame but the version of herself she became. Or perhaps she herself feels no need to get to know Sam, but she knows it's the kind of thing that the version of herself she's pretending to be would do: note that when she explains her reasons for having this tea and chat, she says "We don't stigmatize the help in this house" ie. she expresses her motives for talking to someone entirely in terms of how she wants her family to be perceived.

-- Alfred, conversely, is steadily descending into dementia. Possibly Alzheimer's, possibly the onset of supernatural hysteria, possibly both, but he's lost the ability to maintain his authentic self except intermittently and by happenstance.

-- Where the "designated additional queer character" on each of the other routes has some kind of closeted authenticity--Yao is bluntly willing to help Sam and accept his handjob, Jeb is still mourning the loss of his boyfriend and meanwhile involved with Doc Avery, and Todd is shyly curious about the possibilities he's just noticed exist outside of mere heterosexuality and very easily 'excited' by what he learns--Ralph is by all appearances the most obviously and openly queer.
Yet his only expression of queer sexuality is to pretend to not be interested, pointedly refuse to participate, and then get caught masturbating to what he can overhear of it in the next room.
Note also that Ralph is specifically mentioned as excluded from the Poker Game on Will's route, and is the one to firmly and finally shut down all chance of the Murdoch/Cliff relationship--which seems to develop inevitably if the two are left to find eachother as on Will's route, Cliff's route, and the Holiday AU--on Murdoch's route. In every place Ralph interacts with Murdoch's chances for a relationship, he is positioned as mutually exclusive with that relationship. His initial reaction even to Sam's presence at the store, on Murdoch's route, is also decidedly unfriendly.

-- The principal manifestation of the usual Echo paranormal thusfar has been the photos changing. The photographs as unreliable images theme goes deeper than mere horror effect, however. Not only are the portraits supernaturally unreliable, but we're shown the details at the school picture day of how staged and manipulated the images captured are. not only are the images that are supposed to be so true that they can be used as criminal evidence supernaturally unreliable, but we shown the details of how they are developed, and how very many opportunities the person doing the work of development has to interfere, by 'accident' or omission, with their contents.
Note also, in Murdoch's latest lecture on photography he mentions how any photograph is necessarily only a single appearance of something, the truth of which more complicated. "There's so much information in the light that it can't capture all it's subtleties and intricacies." Photographs are inherently only a single mask, in which the true identity of the thing photographed is lost.

-- The Necromancer's occult ambition seems to be the transfiguration of himself into some kind of echo-entity, thereby achieving immortality of a sort. I will proceed here on the assumption that this is Harlan. The Oh Spirit entity instructing him on this (possibly James 1?) is telling him he must reduce himself to a simpler, more archetypal version of himself, similar to the way Murdoch described a photograph lacking the subtleties and intricacies of light, for this to work. (A photograph, after all, despite being simpler and potentially misleading, can last past the death of its subject.) Given what (comparatively little) we know of what echo entities are and how they work--the Syd/Sam "just a simulation" Flynn meets in his final descent into the mines, for example, or the False Lupita Cam makes contact with in the hotel room in Arches that he says felt like something pretending to be a person--it's likely that even if he were to succeed, such an entity would be a mere horror caricature of Harlan, leaving the real Harlan still very much mortal, to die and be all the more forgotten in comparison with the phantom self he created. In the same way that a photograph can't capture what a person is really, only what they looked like at a certain time from a certain angle to a certain person, yet can outlast the subject's lifetime, we know from Echo that these spirits aren't really the person they are ghosts of, each is a simplified reflection of them the way they seemed to a certain town at a certain time... Yet they can outlast the deaths of their originals.

-- It's notable that Blithe, who seems to have become our deuteragonist for the route, is distinguished by her inability to be fooled by false images of other people's selves. Even apart from her apparent psychic perception, she consistently sees through the lies and delusions of others. She immediately knows Sam is 'a cocksucker,' she's seen through Murdoch's many facades and knows he's 'not respectable,' she's exceptionally quick and adept at literary analysis, and she knows something is deeply wrong with the town. 

Notable, then, that the teaser for this update was the quote from Something Wicked This Way Comes about the "man who looks happiest in town, with the biggest smile, is carrying the biggest load of sin." Compare this to Murdoch's statement in the holiday special: "never trust the man who's trying too hard." Note also the title of the quote source also ties back to MacBeth.
Meanwhile the update title itself, Ghosts of Melodious Prophesyings Rave, is a quote from Keats' Endymion about the persistence of artificial images versus their ephemeral natural origins.
Notable also, that this is the one route concerned with asking the questions about what is, in fact, really going on with the town, the entities, and the hysteria: the one concerned with unmasking Echo.
Though it may also be worth mentioning, if we interpret the Bradbury quote as literally as possible, and apply it directly to the image it appears on... of the three smiles that appear on it, Ralph's is objectively the largest.

Interesting that Will, having earlier in the route been seen suffering a confrontation with Hattie (his ex-wife who either does not know or refuses to believe that he's gay) now appears, looking much better, under the guise of subtly letting Sam know he's safe from suspicion, to then subtly proposition Murdoch.
While at first incongruous, recall that Will's route and theme had a similar intersection with Murdoch's. After Murdoch was shot, Gretchen comes to grill Sam about the affair, and manages to conclude somehow that it was Murdoch's fault. The import, for Will's Theme's purposes, is that she can clearly partially read Murdoch, but can't understand what she reads because she can't let go of her abusive assumptions about him: thus using the theme of Will's route--"Whether someone can/can't read you is how you can tell if they're your real family"--to momentarily examine the problems that we only actually explore on Murdoch's route. So, if we suppose that Will's been backed into some amount of performance of heteronormativity, then he might very well seek additional clandestine homosexual encounters to compensate. "Blow of some steam" as he says, presumably regressing to techniques and behaviors he used to rely on in Chicago. And thus we can understand this as Murdoch's theme being used to comment on Will's route.

It's also interesting that Cliff is still entirely absent from Murdoch's route. Not only are the two of them arguably the canonical 'ship' across multiple routes, Cliff's secret identity should be a perfect fit for the theme of Murdoch's route. But then, for Cliff, the constructed and assumed identity is arguably the true one, the one that allows him escape from the burden of family expectation, where Murdoch's instead imprison him in it. And narrative logic suggests that a 'good' ending for cliff is one in which 'Cornelis' does, to some degree, disappear into the mask of 'Cliff' and while that's similar to Murdoch's theme, it's pointed in the opposite direction and so maybe doesn't fit.

Though I wouldn't rule out the chance that it shows up as some kind of counter-moral, along "this doesn't HAVE to be a bad thing, Murdoch, the difference is whether you choose the mask, or you let someone else choose the mask" lines, maybe?

CHAPTER 4 - Yes I Have Takes About The Smoke Room Again (Analysis of Murdoch's Dressing Room Confession)

(Originally published - March 15 2022)

 

I reread Murdoch, because I was curious about the no-split that people mentioned. And I noticed something, though it's not about the lack of a split.

We've been analyzing the dressing room breakdown in context of the way Murdoch's family treats him because we learned about them at the same time, those came out in the same update. And that's legitimate, they're certainly related, but that's not the only context.

That's also not the only time we've heard this theme in Murdoch's route. It's also played in the Weed Cave, when they talk about Seamus drowning.

On the one hand, that can be read as on-the surface reference chain. It plays in the cave because it's associated with drowning in the lake, and then again because the previous incident has now established it as the 'Murdoch's Lowest Moment' theme. Sure. But it drew my attention to something else: The conversation in the cave was about more than Seamus, it was about The Entity, how to fight it, and that Murdoch hopes to find a way to hurt it back. Sam told Murdoch about the Special Font Voice in his head. Specifically that it wants Sam to kill Murdoch, and Sam doesn't know why.

And that puts the sequence where Murdoch figures out about Jack in very different context. That's context that reveals something I think we've all been skipping.

Thusfar the interpretation (which is still a valid reading) has been:

Murdoch: "I think you killed that miner in the caves.

Sam: "I won't confirm that."

Murdoch: "It doesn't matter whether you admit it, I love you."

And there's more going on in the exchange than that. Transcript:

Murdoch: "If I thought I knew you did something bad..."
Murdoch: "And I was ever scared of you..."
Murdoch: "...would you be able to tell me the truth about it?"

...what?

What is he talking about?

Sam: "I don't know."
Murdoch: "That's okay."
Murdoch: "I think I understand."
Murdoch: "I don't think it matters to me."

You don't think what matters to you?

???: "What could it possibly be?"
???: "I think I have a guess."

And that's the current route end.

Four things to note here.

First, Murdoch doesn't say "If I thought you (killed the miner)," he says "If I thought I KNEW you (killed that miner)."

Second, He then adds "If I was ever scared of you" to the question, which is, I think, what analysis has heretofore glossed over. He's not asking 'Are you guilty?' He's saying 'I know you're a killer.' and asking 'Are you dangerous, to me specifically?'

Third, right now, right after the confession about Jim, his family, losing his grip on himself, and admitting he sometimes wants to die, and admitting he just wants someone who loves and appreciates the real him enough to tell him he's doing a good job? That's an odd place to suddenly talk about whether or not Sam killed Jack. What prompted Murdoch to bring this up NOW?

Fourth, whatever Murdoch's actually talking about, while Sam might not fully get it, the voice pops up to say that it DOES get it.

Murdoch's not just saying "I'm going to be with you whether or not you're guilty." This isn't (solely) the 'come clean to the love interest and find out he can trust him' moment that Sam's also had with Cliff, Nik, and Will.

Murdoch is saying "I know you're capable of killing. If the voice in your head, that you already told me wants you to kill me, starts to take over, can you resist? Can you warn me?"

And then THAT, not whether Sam killed Jack, whether Sam MIGHT kill Murdoch, that's what Murdoch decides doesn't matter.

Murdoch chooses to be with Sam regardless. That his dream of a kiss for free, of Sam waking up in his bed, of telling him he's doing a good job is worth more than his own life.

CHAPTER 5 - Ok, what, in fact, IS a Hysteria?

(Originally Published - March 2nd 2022)

 


The biggest impact of the latest Smoke Room Update, Rocks of Sombre Hue, is that it revealed that we MAY have actually finally SEEN a second example of a Hysteria. I base this on two criteria:

Caldwell says the two days they spent in the forest was actually two weeks on the outside, consistent with the fairy tale/horror trope of "the amount of time you spent in non-ordinary reality was different than you thought it was."

Cliff explicitly mentions "mass hysteria" in his attempt to explain happened to them. While CLIFF thinking it was mass hysteria doesn't really prove anything one way or the other, the fact that the WRITERS chose for him to use THAT terminology has to be seen as conclusive, the same way Jenna's calling it a 'Tulpa' despite that description's debatable accuracy is nonetheless taken as definitive. The fact is the writers chose to have a character use that term, and they did not do so for no reason.


Now while it's always possible that a later update will clarify that no, that wasn't a capital H Hysteria, just some spooky woods, the real Hysteria is still to come back in Echo, for purposes of this investigation I will proceed on the assumption that Cliff's expedition getting lost in the lost woods IS in fact a Hysteria.


For all that we assume we know about the cycle of Hysterias, we have in fact only seen one: the 2015 Hysteria depicted in Echo. From this, and from diegetic historical records of the 1870s and 1915 hysterias, themselves of less than certain plausibility, community consensus has settled on more or less the following rules:

-The Hysteria occurs within Echo.

-The Hysteria 'closes the borders.' Leaving, and communication with the outside world, are both nigh impossible while it lasts.

-The Hysteria makes all the Entities more real, more powerful, and more dangerous.

-Queer, Gay, and LGBTQ people may be more likely to find themselves the focal point of a Hysteria, though this may be merely an artifact of the stories being made by queer writers for a largely queer audience.

-It is believed by some that killing the "responsible person," IE the person whose GSM was the straw the broke the donkey's back, will end the hysteria. I do not know of any source for this beleif. Possibly hum-induced, possibly to do with resolutions to the 1915 hysteria which we haven't yet (and may never) see.

-The Hysteria is triggered by some combination of guilt, secrets, and misery, (GSM for brevity's sake) especially ones related to violent deaths and cycles of trauma and revenge. Note that Gad and Manaba specifically cite deliberate ignorance of echo and its secrets as the thing that keeps them safe from it. There are a number of possible theories about precisely how:

   -This may be triggered by a critical mass of GSM. There is some capacity or score that, when reached, triggers a Hysteria. This would explain the relatively short period between the 1870s hysteria and the 1915, as opposed to longer between 1915 and 2015. The population decline has slowed the buildup of GSM, thus it doesn't begin to snowball toward critical mass until Sam's death at the hands of (or van of) Mr. Bronson starts the cycle that leads to Chase killing Sydney.

   -It may be a matter of specific people harboring GSM. Known trigger points for Hysterias included John Begay's framing and execution (the death of a queer person, at the hands of a queer person,) presumably Jack's killing (the death of a queer person at the hands of a queer person,) and Sydney's death (death at the hands of a queer person, since Sydney never got old enough to find out he remains a question mark despite what Ao3 would have you beleive. Though since the beginning of the chain is Sam, that might still count.) Notably deaths of straight, or presumed straight, people do NOT seem to have triggered hysterias: Seamus, the Teen Girlcat that Cameron saw in a vision. Similarly non-violent deaths of queer people also seem not to be triggers: Jeb's boyfriend who died of tuberculosis, for instance. There's several traditions of magic/heathenry/paranormal thought in which not being straight is to be automatically a contact point for non-ordinary reality. IF the hinging of hysterias on queer characters IS diegetic, of course.

   -It may be not a matter of how much GSM, but the ratio of those carrying GSM to those untroubled by it. In 1915, Sam, Murdoch, Nik, Cliff, and Will are only a fraction of a fraction of the total population of Echo. By 2020, Cameron himself is between 50% and 20% of the total population, depending on what day we're looking at, and might possibly be sufficient to trigger a hysteria entirely on his own.


So let's look at how Cliff's Expedition fits these criteria.

-Closed Borders. Once they enter the forest, paths no longer go where they are supposed to, and leaving is impossible. Moreover, though they only spend two days in the forest, this apparently consumes two weeks.

-Entity reality increase. The Beast, of course, but also John Begay's ghost is so lifelike that Sam doesn't realise he's not talking to a living person.

-Queer characters focal point. The only people whom we don't KNOW to be queer are Yiska and Tsela.

-Triggered by GSM. Every character seems to have a certian amount of this. Sam, obviously, has Jack and that's just the start. Murdoch has Seamus and that's just the start. Cliff has the fact that he's not actually Cliff. Jeb has a dead boyfriend. Even Avery has a lot of bitterness about colonialism but also about old disagreements with his parents.


In addition, the narrative progress THROUGH the Lost woods portion of Cliff's route seems to fit the progress through most version of the 2015 Hysteria we get to see. There's the unexpected danger from a source that is initially thought to be mundane. There's the Samulation-like "imitating the appearances of people you lost." There the folding back of paths, as when attemting to leave town in Flynn's or Leo's route, but also as in the interior of the manison in Carl's route. There's the confrontation of guilt. After which the hysteria is passed and they can leave.


So what about the one trait that most notably doesn't fit? Because this hysteria doesn't happen in Echo, it in fact happens well outside the Circle on Gad's map. But it did START there. All the characters affected started their trips in Echo. So, assuming this is a hysteria, we may perhaps re examine the first rule: must hysterias happen in Echo? Or have the ones we've SEEN merely been confined to Echo, because the lockdown of the second trait means that once they start they stay put, and the thing that starts them is itself in Echo? But they build slowly: the 2015 hysteria doesn't begin the instant Chase returns, nor did it begin when Chase killed Sydney. So the hysteria "potential" could have been on Sam, Cliff, Murdoch, and Jeb as they LEFT, and then once they were alone together, well, that's 100% of the 'population' both carrying significant GSM and Queer, and so it starts with the beast attack, and once it does the forest becomes locked down until they've seen what John Begay, who takes control of the manifestations of the hysteria the same wat he and James 1 did in Carl's route, has shown someone what he wants them to see. (The message being, perhaps, a little weaker and less clear without an actual descendant present.)

And is that so far fetched? It's long been theorized that the some part of the material of the Hysterias, if not the motivating will behind them, is memories and ideas 'imprinted' onto the quartz formations beneath the town and the mine. But quartz is not the only thing that can contain memories and ideas. People can too.

If true, the implications are unsettling. Post Jenna's good ending, for example, or post a hypothetical good Murdoch, Cliff, or Nik ending where Sam and one or more of his love interests have left Echo behind... there could, potentially, still be additional incidences.

CHAPTER 6 - TSR Theory Time Again (On Timeline interconnection)

(Originally published - Feb 26th 2022)

 

Lord of Evening Help Me I'm Back on My Bullshit Again. What with some of the writer's statements about the flashback scene at the end of Jenna's route in Echo, and the hint that Echo MIGHT not be AS "in it's own timeline" related to any of the playable route in The Smoke Room as we once thought, I've been thinking over which, if any, of the routes as they currently stand COULD lead to the events of Echo?

Spoilers for The Smoke Room and Echo below.

In order for a route to plausibly connect, IF any of them turn out to, which may be a LARGE 'if,' it must do all of the following:

1) Sam has to survive. No way to say yet if this favors any of them. Presumably there's no route in which there is NO ending where Sam lives, though I suppose it's always possible, but as yet we don't have enough info to do anything with this condition.

2) Sam has to remain in Echo. (Or at least have returned there by the 70s.) While again it's currently possible that any and all routes will meet this, some do look more likely as of the current builds: Sam is still actively planning, as of Cliff's route, not to come back, the plan was for Sam, Nik, and Yao to leave with the gold in Nik's route though the discovery of 88883 may have changed that, and Ralph and Sam have both agreed that leaving Echo would be the best thing for Murdoch in his route. The only route in which there seems no realistic possibility, currently, of Sam actually leaving is Will's.

3) Cliff has to survive and stay in Echo long enough to become Duke's ancestor. This only route this rules out, and it doesn't do so absolutely, is Murdoch's, in which Murdoch redirects his attention to a Meseta community in Pueblo. This is hardly conclusive: we don't know if Cliff's actually going to GO there, and if he were to he could easily come back.

4) Andy needs to be around to become Janice's ancestor. While Will's survival and presence isn't ontologically necessary to lead to the events of Echo, his son's is. While Andy is presumably present in the town in all routes, he's only been seen in Will's.

5) Murdoch needs to take the photo of Will with no shirt, of Will and Cliff doing the post hysteria negotiations, and of Sam and Cynthia. This could be any route, at this point.

6) Nik needs to have taught Sam the route from the murder cave to the as-of-2015 forgotten back entrance. While this might happen POST-hysteria on any route where Nik and Sam both survive, we have ALREADY seen this happen in Nik's route.

7) Sam has to either have a non-monogamous relationship, or more than one monogamous relationship. The phrasing during the van scene is not "the person he loves is dead, but he doesn't want to join him, he just wants him back," it's "the PEOPLE he loves," "to join THEM," and "wants THEM back." At present this could still be any route, but by far the strongest candidate is Cliff's 'trust Murdoch' sub-route, followed by Will's (as yet hypothetical) "full polycule" route, and potentially Nik's "trust Yao" sub-route. The only route not on track to this, at the moment, seems to be Murdoch's.

8) Finally, not a condition, but an odd coincidence. It's notable that as of the current build status, Sam's not gotten much of an opportunity to get to know Murdoch on Will's route. Will's route has Sam spend significant amounts of time alone with Will (obviously,) with Nik (in terms of working out Nik's hurt feelings that Sam trusted Will rather than him,) with Cliff (after Will sends him to the sheriff's office in case of another attack,) but not with Murdoch. This could, then, play into the Chase/Sam "Fuck you for hurting..." list, and become a post-facto explanation for why Murdoch isn't mentioned in it. Yes, the nondiegetic/Doylist reason Murdoch isn't on the list is that his character hadn't been planned yet when the end of Leo's route was written, but that doesn't preclude the construction of a diegetic/Watsonian reason after the fact.

So I think the only conclusion to be reached is that I can't reach any conclusions. Nothing we have seen in any Smoke Room route so far precludes leading to Echo, but also it's too early in any of them to say which, if any, are more likely to do so.

CHAPTER 7 - Nik's Theme

(Originally published - Sep 7th 2023)

Nik's route, in The Smoke Room, has been strongly thematic for some time now: but what theme, precisely, hasn't been clear. But I think I might have seen it.

Prior to this it's been pointed out (by someone whom I know as Wyatt, I don't believe they are on SoFurry) that there was a very strong "hands" motif: 88883 is made of other people's arms with hands outstretched reaching for Sam, Chang's hand injury is what obligates him into a life of crime, Ben's attempt to crush Sam's hand with his hammer, Sam's initial sex scene with Nik--uniquely among main romance interests--is manual masturbation as is his encounter with Yao. Sam has a vision of a bouquet of hands reaching out from the mine towards him, while experiencing an brief opium contact high. The first chapter title card shows a trail of hand prints in the sand leading out of the mine toward the town. But a motif is not itself a theme, though it may be, and should be, used to express one.

But a hand is a common and intuitive symbol for work. It is, after all, the human's primary organ of manipulation of the world through effort. Given how much of the conflict in Nik's route revolves around the history of the early twentieth century labor movement, and the dangers of organizing a union, this is a highly relevant symbol.

And the theme I believe I see it expressing is the struggle to not be reduced to solely your utility to others.

This manifests in a number of ways:

The hand motif, of course: Chang is only worth anything to the mine with intact hands, with missing fingers he is considered worthless. Ben sees Sam as a potential rival purely because of his ability to work. And 88883, of course, seems to in some way consume the echoes the dead leave behind, fully reducing them to mere extensions of itself.

But the theme continues beyond the motif. James, in attempting to win access to Sam, gifts him with new tools. Note that the gift is simply of something that makes Sam useful to James, and is only appreciated because the mining company has deliberately declined it's very basic duty to be useful to the miners doing the work. But the subtext is that though James may desire Sam, the only part of him he can attempt to appeal to and win over is the part that is useful to James. Sam, in turn, elects to give James what he wants precisely because he intends to get some use out of his influence with the company.

Porter has made a career out of dealing in other people's secrets, no matter how the secrets he buys and sells hurt them, and no matter who they hurt. While the utility he reduces people to is of a kind different than that of the mine, it is no less a reduction. His having done this to a blood relative is the source of the rift between himself and his brother.

Sam's initial choice whether or not to trust Yao--which does lead to sexual contact--is expressed in terms of utility: "He seems helpful," as the choice puts it.

Nik's primary anxiety about his relationship with Sam is not any objection to Sam's sex work or doubt about Sam's character, it is his own failure to be useful enough TO Sam. He wants to be able to "pay him what he is truly worth, pay to hold him forever." He bemoans that seeing him means Sam has to turn down wealthier clients, clients who could be more useful.

Briggs brings up all the extraneous details about Nik's life--the Lahkian (Polish) name he still uses despite having been assigned an Americanized legal name presumably upon immigration, the fact he owns his own helmet, his desire to do something else with his life besides work in a mine, his disdain for the idea of stabbing others in the back for his own advancement--not in order to argue that they make him untrustworthy but as if they are all self-evidently untrustworthy. Compare this to Brigg's attitude upon Sam's rehiring, which was naked aggrieved suspicion at him merely for the fact that he at one point stopped working as a miner. He outright uses the word 'ungrateful.' Briggs, then sees workers as solely equivalent to their work. Any miner who has any traits or qualities beyond 'miner' is therefore 'not really a miner' and therefore suspicious.

Ben, ultimately, is the logical conclusion of this portrait of capitalism. He brings two other miners with him in his attempt at excavating the untouched reserves of the mine. He shows neither regret nor shock at the death of one of them in a dynamite blast--the man is not useful to him anymore, and therefore it doesn't matter that he's dead. Similarly the second Nate is no longer useful, Ben casually and in cold blood murders him. He then demands that Nik, Yao, and Sam kill one another, as if that were a reasonable request. Because to his twisted worldview it IS a reasonable request--it would be useful to him if they did so, and he sees people as having no traits but their utility to him, therefore they have no reason not to. Nothing about them, in Ben's eyes, exists but their utility to him.

On the other side of this, the union efforts are all to keep eachother existing as more than merely utility. The stag serves as a meeting area not only so that they have cover for associating with one another but because it's a place with things to do that have nothing to do with their work. Note the exercise and fitness equipment around back, collectively bought and free to use. Nik himself is the ultimate example of this: he mentions the concept of Organic Society, in which people are so separated from their utility that money becomes no longer a consideration. And his ultimate dream is merely spending leisure time with the people he cares about while he still can.

Now of course one obvious implication of this is the labor struggle that forms much of the plot: the union is fighting for the workers to have and money enough to do more with their lives than work, this is, historically, a long-standing rhetorical point almost every labor movement makes. But it also may be very relevant as the paranormal elements within the story increase. It's been hinted (by Oh Spirit to the Necromancer, by Sam's Ghost to Chase, by Sam's Ghost to Flynn) that the entities in echo, the ghosts especially, are a reduced and simplified version of the people they were in life. If so, such a reduction to one's utility is uncomfortably close to being an entity oneself.

CHAPTER 8 - Buy One Get Three Free: The Four Loves Model in The Smoke Room

(Originally published - June 30th 2023)


It's common enough to say that Ancient Philosophy classified love into four kinds. This is, as always, an over-simplification, and one that breaks down with even the most cursory research. All sorts of classical philosophers had all sorts of different organizational schema about what love was. The "Four Loves" version comes to us filtered through Christian theologians and philosophers in the Late Classical through the Renaissance eras, and so to some extent is colored by that perspective. It's common for sources that organize love in this way to be visibly over-cautious of what they call Eros, or to try explicitly to say that Agape is both inherently superior to other forms of love and separated from sexuality entirely.

All that said, though, if we were to try to hold out only for Classical Philosophy which was wholly untainted by Christian influence, we'd have almost nothing, and it's not as if any of us--the people who are reading works of literary analysis, in English--can claim to come from cultures or societies wholly free of Christian influence. Trying to analyze according to a hypothetical influence-free schema that we don't have is only going to replace the version of it with someone else's bias with a version of it with our own biases. Even if it could be done, what would be the purpose? The schema exists, as it is, and so long as we are conscious of the perspectives that have shaped it, and so can correct for them as needed, then it will do as well as any other. The principal correction, and the one we will therefore establish at the outset, is this: it is common in treatments of this idea of types of love to proceed from the assumption that sex and romance are solely and entirely the domain of Eros, that Storge, Philia, and Agape have nothing whatsoever to do with sexuality. But I daresay that almost any queer person who wears a little experience can tell you this is pure, raw, heteronormative nonsense. If a kind of love exists, then it can be expressed sexually if those who hold it consent to do so: the difference between loves is not in whether sexuality is involved, it's in how that sexuality manifests.

So with the understanding that it's an imperfect instrument, let's take a look at what we're measuring with it.

The Smoke Room

is a visual novel produced by The Echo Project. The main character, Sam, is a sex worker, in a mining boom town, in rural mostly-Arizona, in 1915, and the story opens when he kills a client in self-defense. Sex work, somewhat counter-intuitively, is legal (this is true, historically, Arizona did not outlaw sex work until 1917,) but sodomy is a felony. Moreover, just because sex work is legal doesn't mean anyone is going to believe a sex worker's claim of self defense. So Sam needs to decide, and quickly, which of his other clients can get him out of town, cover up the crime, or both.

This choice also decides which of the possible romantic interests Sam will, on this playthrough, become attached to: Cliff, the visiting anthropologist from Europe, Murdoch, the closest-anyone-can-be-to-'out' photographer, Nik, the shy miner who can rarely afford more than cuddling, or Will, the town Sheriff. These are very different men, of course, and the relationships Sam can build with each are correspondingly different.

Perhaps intentionally, perhaps through mere synchronicity, these map to The Four Loves.

Storge

Will, or Sheriff William Adler, is Sheriff of Echo. He was once a prominent detective, in Chicago, but due to some kind of encounter with some combination of organized crime and corrupt politics--precise details are not yet known--he was essentially exiled.

We've had no evidence of any point in Will's life where he did not know he was gay, but nevertheless he does have an ex-wife and an estranged son. The marriage was, according to Will, right from the beginning unhappy to the point of suicidal ideation (though it's notable that Hattie, the lady in question, remains to this day hurt and confused as to why it ended) and as much as he misses Chicago, he was glad to be done with it.

He's gruff, grumpy, and blunt, and very assertive in bed. He flat out denies having romantic feelings toward Sam, at the same time physical tells--his tail involuntarily wagging, or an erection in reaction to a compliment from Sam--give that statement the lie. His love is instead expressed in acts of caretaking: making sure Sam doesn't skip meals, reassuring Sam that defending himself is justified and moving to cover up the killing, teaching Sam to better read people so he won't be tricked again. Moreover, he does these with a very casual, comfortable manner: he laughs at Sam's fears, he sarcastically complains, he and Sam stay up late together, not having sex, just talking. It's a very common observation that the two of them are the 'old married couple' of the cast.

Will here is going to represent Storge.

Storge (pronounced STORE-gay, yes really) is natural, instinctive, familial love. The love between parents and children would be a kind of Storge, as would be the love for pets, or siblings, or one's hometown. One translation might be affection, but perhaps the best way to get the concept across would be that if what you love about someone is that they've "always been there for you" then you are likely talking about Storge.

Storge, obviously, has applications to kinds of relationships beyond a romantic or sexual one, but its romantic or sexual form would inevitably look very like this: Hanging out at eachother's workplaces. Spending the night together even if they don't have sex--Will offers to pay Sam's normal rate to sleep with him even in only a purely literal sense--which, bookmark that, it's going to be seen again.

The theme of Will's route has been working out who one's real family is. That's the reason this route is the one in which all the other romantic interests remain most involved, and the one which (potentially) has been teased to have a possible ending in which some amount of romantic and/or sexual involvement exists between Sam and each of them. Any queer literary analyst worth their salt will tell you how important 'found family' is, as a concept, especially in the case of a story like this where it's unambiguously and very favorably being compared to a biological family. Will's familial relationship with his ex-wife Hattie, with his estranged son Andy, these have served only to hurt everyone involved, and the text clearly rejects the idea that reconciliation is the answer. This is not Will's real family, they never were. Will's real family is Sam, and by extension is Nik, is Murdoch and Cliff, is even Todd.

To extend the metaphor to them, note that parsing Will's sometimes heavy relationships in terms of familial bonds makes them make much more sense. Cliff, for example: Will heartily disapproves of how careless Cliff is with his closet, how his casual unmasking puts not only himself but Sam and Murdoch at risk. But he still defends and guards him without hesitation: Will is unceasingly aggravated with Cliff but never distances himself, as one would with a family member. In the course of his investigation Cliff, Murdoch, and each Nik look very suspicious, at times, but actually suspecting them does not seem to cross Will's mind, in an obvious continuity with his reaction to Sam's confession.

For his part, Will is showing parts of himself, his background, his trauma, his explanations of why he is as he is, to Sam that he's clearly never shown anyone. These wounds are all about having been denied Storge, and it is Storge, therefore, that he gets from Sam.

Eros

Clifford Tibbets is a scholar, from Batavia in Europe, who has come to Echo to complete an anthropology thesis on the Indigenous people of the area. He has heard, and been enamored of, the Meseta people all his life--these are a lightly fictionalized analogue of the Dine or Navajo people of the American southwest, but most national names are changed in this story: the Netherlands is Batavia, Germany is Almany, even the United States are 'of Columbia' rather than 'of America.'

Indigenous studies is not all that Cliff is enamored with. We in fact first see him in the story openly announcing that he'd like to hire a male sex worker, please, under the mistaken impression that because "this is the wild west" where "everything is free and rowdy" that therefore nobody will have any objections. He gets a beating for his trouble from two local drunks, but he does also get his introduction to Sam, who clues him in about there being such a thing as discretion.

He's enthusiastic, sheltered, irrepressible, and can be impatient. He's technically minor nobility, and his aristocratic mannerisms stand out all the more against the background of a mining boom town. He very much views the world, or at least the parts of it he's dealing with now, through rose colored glasses. He's also arguably the horniest, he's the only one, so far, to have slept with another of the romantic interests--he and Murdoch become a couple fairly quickly in Will's route--and he was the first to have a sex scene with multiple partners.

So he'll be Eros.

Eros needs little to no introduction. Most writing on The Four (or however many) Loves must start by explaining that there are kinds of love OTHER than Eros. Eros is romantic love, 'true' love, the kind of love you 'fall in.'

It's common to take a connection between Eros and sexuality for granted. Some sex-negative treatments will try to separate the two conceptually in order to avoid having to say that sex can be good, but I would argue for that separation on opposite grounds. Basic queer studies will make it clear that romantic love and sexual attraction are not the same thing: an Asexual person is not necessarily Aromantic, nor is an Aromantic person Asexual. Moreover, as already discussed above, any of these forms of love may be expressed sexually, which could not be the case if sexuality was the same thing as a particular one of them.

That said, Eros is the kind of love which is oriented toward sexuality, or rather the kind of love which one might usually have for sexual partners. There is a reason that the word "Erotic" derives from it.

Cliff is, of the four romantic interests, the one who has known Sam the least amount of time, and the only one to make it all the way to his bed motivated solely by sexual desire. Will and Nik already have feelings for Sam, Murdoch has been fantasizing about the life he imagines Sam lives for some time now, but Cliff has literally only just arrived in this part of the country, and came to the brothel looking for the male sex worker he knew was there before even meeting him. After one night, he immediately pays lavishly to hire Sam as his 'bodyguard' on an expedition to the reservation, despite still knowing nearly nothing about him. At the same time, Cliff's had at least one sexual encounter with Murdoch, as well, and according to player choices can continue pursuing both all the way into a polyamorous three way. He's got real difficulty concealing his feelings, and unfortunately, his orientation, which itself puts him at risk.

Moreover, when Cliff finally encounters the culture he came to study, the Meseta people, he's excited to the point of being off-putting and overbearing. He loves everything about their way of life, even as he admits he knows nigh-nothing about them. He has to be gently but firmly reminded that the things he's being shown aren't priceless museum pieces, they're real people's real, daily lives. Disillusioning him about the justifiability of American colonialism is an increasing priority of the ongoing story.

All the ways he relates to Sam, to Murdoch, to his own expedition, and to what he believes to be the freedom of the American frontier reek of infatuation. He's fallen in love at first sight, and only in hindsight does he actually think of the consequences, whether that means dealing with the fact that Sam can't return with him because he may be wanted for murder, or reckoning with being entangled in acts of genocide against the people he came here to get to know. "Wed in haste, repent at leisure" is descriptive not only of the way he relates to Sam, but of the way he relates to everything.

Philia

Murdoch Byrnes is the only (surviving) son of the Byrnes family. His father is the owner of the general store and his mother is the principal of the town school. He's witty, fast talking, intelligent, and mischievous, but this is a facade, a persona he adopts to cover up how desperate he is for the approval of his increasingly abusive and exploitative family. He does nearly all the work at the store, as his father is beginning to exhibit symptoms of dementia, especially the photography. He's continually and publicly blamed and berated by his mother for everything that might happen to go wrong, even if he had nothing to do with it. All of which is to say nothing of the things Sam comes to learn as he gets closer to Murdoch.

Murdoch is also the only romantic option who is already well aware that some presence is haunting the town of Echo. He's discovered in his work that the photographs can change, that sometimes they show hurtful or frightening imagery that has disappeared when you look back. And that the things the presence makes you see can be dispelled with sex, or with certain drugs, though other drugs actually make it worse. This has kindled in him the hope that the years of increasing emotional abuse he's taken from his family are similarly of paranormal origins, though Sam and by extension the reader remains unconvinced of this.

Murdoch has deep issues with performative identity and transactional relationships. He's so used to being whoever the person he's dealing with wants him to be, to doing whatever they want him to do, that he's no longer sure who he is when he's by himself: he's so unwilling to say no that he's been talked, by his sister, into letting her fiance fuck him to keep him entertained long enough to go through with the wedding, and instead of objecting he rationalizes to himself why it's not so bad, really, and actually he likes it. As much as this hurts him, he does it because he's so starved for affection or approval that trading anything for either is worth it. The most he can imagine wishing for, during his confessional breakdown to Sam, is getting 'a kiss for free,' and being told he's 'doing a good job.'

Murdoch embodies Philia.

According to some accounts, Philia was the noblest of the loves. It was the engaged, active, mutual admiration of equals. It's the Phil in Philosophy's 'love of wisdom,' and in Philadelphia's 'city of brotherly love.' While it's often translated 'friendship,' the English word covers a much broader range of relationship types than 'Philia,' only the very top range of what we'd call 'friendship' could properly be called Philia. We don't just mean "small talk in the break room" here, or "roommates who get along well enough.'

The challenge in trying to describe 'friendship' in an analysis of a queer story about queer characters is the wearisome frequency with which heteronormative society would reduce historical same sex couples to 'just friends.' It is well to remember that, as Murdoch proves, Philia is just as much real love as any other, and can just as much expressed sexually, but this doesn't help clarify the distinctions. 

Instead of examples, then, let us talk in terms of the things Philia does which other forms of love do not. Storge loves the beloved for the care and comfort and peace they provide. Eros loves the beloved because loving them is pleasure. But Philia loves the beloved for their own sake, just because they are themselves, and not for any other good which is a consequence of them or their actions. So in order to exist between people they need to be equals, not like Storge's carer and cared-for. And they must see eachother for who they are, unlike Eros which thrives in first impressions and behind rose-colored glasses. Hence Murdoch, in order to get close to Sam, must see past the illusion of orgiastic bliss he's imagined of him to the real man. And he cannot be loved by Sam without having his own self-image blown away and his truth revealed. Philia is anti-transactional, and recall, what Murdoch craves above all else is non-transactional love, a kiss for free, to be loved not in exchange for something, but simply for himself.

Phila, also, is perhaps the busiest love. Storge wants to be comfortable, Eros wants to lie about gazing into eachother's eyes, but Philia wants to do something together. Philia wants to stay up all night talking, or co-write a opera, or play games, or build a railroad together. Philia wants to see the potential of the beloved realized, so it wants a project for them, and then wants to help with that project. Thus, Murdoch is the only partner who does not start off by hiring Sam, but rather challenging him, and besting him, at a sexual contest. He offers him a part time job, he involves him in his ongoing paranormal investigation. When Sam finally gets through to him about the abuse in which his family has left him, it is in the context of Murdoch seeing that he too has been used as, in all practicality, a sex worker like Sam.

Agape

Nikolai Krol is a miner at the gold, silver, and copper mine which supports most of the town's economy. Like all the miners, he's paid barely a subsistence wage. He's doing his best to help organizing a union, which given that this is 1915 involves serious risk of being shot by pinkertons or the national guard.

Nikolai is an immigrant from Lachia (ie Poland). He came to America as a young man, and though he hasn't given Sam the story of how it was clearly not exactly a voluntary relocation. Given the historical period, the partition of Poland between Prussia and Russia, and the fact that now those two powers are fighting world war one on it, and his demonstrated familiarity with early communist and socialist theory, and the fact that he speaks with disturbing familiarity on how private property is a myth because 'all it takes is men with guns' to make all your rights disappear, it's not hard to speculate about what tragedies he might have behind him.

Nik's poverty means he can't exactly afford Sam's regular rates. Sam still takes him as a customer, though, just because Nik is genuinely nice to him, because Nik usually just wants to cuddle, and because has feelings for Nik as well. Nik feels very guilty about this, worried that Sam is missing money he needs to spend time with him: he fantasizes about being able to provide for Sam on a permanent basis because then he won't feel unworthy of his love:

"But I have felt frightened, thinking any time I hold you can be the last time. Because you need to work. And I need to find somebody I do not have to pay to hold. Or find some way... to pay to hold you forever."

It's notable that Nik's fantasies are not simple domesticity. When he describes the kind of life he wants, it's not just him and Sam--though note that Nik is the only one, thusfar, to give the equivalent of a marriage proposal to Sam, even if as he does he points out 'there is no marriage for people like you and me.' Rather, the perfect life Nik would choose if he but had the power goes beyond romance or even polyamory:

"I just want to drink with them, and cook with them, and do a good day's work for a good day's pay until we share our last summer... I'm not afraid of death. I'm more afraid of having to start over too many times before my last summer. I just want a slow cozy gentle run before I have to sleep for good. I want my neighbors leaving flowers by my bed. Not faceless strangers passing by."

He doesn't specify who "them" is, presumably the Union Boys, his friends, his neighbors, and Sam, who he's already by now said he wants to spend the rest of his life with, unconditionally, no matter what.

Nik, the one character of whom I've never heard any reader express any dislike, is Agape.

That's not 'a-gape,' that's 'A-ga-pe.' Rhymes with "a top, eh?"

Agape is unconditional love. Christianized treatments of the classifications of love will depart from more classical ones by ranking this the 'highest' and 'purest,' often they will call this divine love, or the kind of 'your neighbor as yourself' love that christian scripture commands. What's useful is this account is the 'your neighbor.' It does not say your family member, as in Storge, your sexy neighbor, as with Eros, or your free and equal neighbor with whom you have common interests, as in Philia. It's 'your neighbor,' unmodified. Whoever happens to be there, whether they deserve it or need it. Love without means testing.

Note that not only is Nik's love for Sam unconditional, his loyalty to his friends is as well. He speaks up in favor of Will, even when the other unionists are automatically and very justifiably suspicious of a cop.

The most common translation of Agape is 'Charity,' from the latin 'caritas' which was their often-taken option to translate Agape from greek. But one might also argue for 'Solidarity.'

This of course makes a unionist an obvious embodiment of Agape, but more than this, Nik is community-minded to his core. The ideals he advances, the way he packs extra food 'just in case' someone is going hungry, his hesitancy to support violent organizing tactics even as he acknowledges they might be necessary. Agape, as an ethos, is one of the most powerful community building tools in existence, from the early christians to the hippies at haight ashbury to any number of nascent cults.

Note that the one rift between Nik and Sam (that we see, at least) is not because of any way either wrongs the other. Will's route is unique in that all the other characters remain involved in the story, roughly as a group. After the route begins by Sam choosing to confide in Will, however, Nik becomes somewhat distant and cool. But it's not that Sam killed a man, or that he lied to cover it up that hurt, it's that Sam thought Nik's love might be conditional. As Nik explains to Will, "he should know that he can trust me."

Also note that there is nothing chaste about Nik's love for Sam. While many treatments try to present Agape as sexlessly spiritual, Nik is arguably the single most passionate lover Sam has. Cliff is experimenting with the act itself, Murdoch is playful and wry, Will is working through his self-loathing via his kinks, but Nik, even in the midst of orgasm, only repeats "I love you, Sam Ayers."

Intention or Depiction?

The question is, is this intentional theming on the part of the author? Or is this merely an emergent property of the story as a result of The Four Loves being a real observed phenomena in human life which would therefore naturally be reflected in a story with four possible romantic partners? Well, there's one additional aspect that might serve as a test.

Each route has a side character specific to that route. On Will's route we meet his deputy, Todd Bronson. Cliff's has Jeb Coles, the local teamster hired for his expedition. Murdoch has Ralph Walker, the store pharmacist and flatmate who was once his boyfriend. And Nik has Feng Yaolin, or Yao, the serious-minded and covert union organizer. All are queer in some way. Thusfar Sam is able to become involved, sexually, with two (maybe two point five?) of them in addition to the main route's love interest.

The question is, since these characters are clearly associated with a single specific route, do they also correspond to the four loves? To the correct one for that route?

Deputy Todd Bronson

is a precious cowboy himbo who hero-worships Will a little--he mentions that, masturbatory fantasies about "the things he knows Will and Sam are doing for eachother" notwithstanding, he thinks of Will as a surrogate father--and always sees the best in everyone which means he's maybe not best suited for a career in law enforcement. His love of pie is memetic. He's a good mormon boy, which is a problem, because Sam's arrival in Will's life, Cliff's gender-nonconforming presence in the social circle, and his own hopefully careful pre-marital celibacy have led him to start asking questions about his own body, Sam's professional expertise is the only available source of answers in coming to terms with the possibility of not being straight.

Todd is deeply loyal to the idea of his town and the people in it as he remembers believing them to be growing up here. Even when he knows and acknowledges that those memories are deliberately sweetened. Take the case of Marcy and Huxley Greene, a childless married couple who are friends of the family via one off Todd's many, many uncles. Marcy has been trapped in a horribly abusive marriage since she was, well, young enough to play with dolls, as Todd puts it, they've been "married since he was a kid," when she's only barely older than Todd himself. But he doesn't feel like he can do anything about it, because it'd upset his family. Like Will, Todd has been placed in an unhealthy biological family, and may yet have the option before him of replacing it with a found family. So Todd can be seen to represent a toxic, abusive form of Storge, one in which he's been trapped. Which makes that a match.

Jebediah Coles

is a local rancher who makes most of his living as a hired teamster, hauling cargo with a team of donkeys. He's in many ways a polar opposite of Cliff: reserved, taciturn, phlegmatic, and not eager to get to know anyone. When some manner of paranormal entity attacks Cliff's expedition and kills his donkeys he takes it very hard. The animals, you see, once belonged to his boyfriend. At some point, when Jeb was younger, he and a Meseta hired hand on the family ranch were in love. They planned to save up, leave Echo, spend the rest of their lives together, but these hopes were dashed when the partner died of tuberculosis. Now the animals  are the only thing he has left from him, he'd promised to take care of them, and now he's failed at that too.

We actually know very little about Jeb, as side characters go, and even less about his once lover--not even a name. But their relationship is, or was, so obviously Eros as to approach cliche. Young sweethearts, full of big dreams of running away and building a life together, cut tragically short, leaving the bereaved survivor to grieve and pine and they withdraw into solitude  and vainly cherish the last relics of their beloved. That makes two matches.

Ralph Walker

(not entirely confirmed that this is his last name, it doesn't seem to appear in the text, and though members of the community assure me the writer has revealed this surname I was unable to source that claim) is a childhood friend of the Byrnes siblings, Murdoch especially. He emigrated from Australia, seemingly on the initiative of Alfred Byrnes, the father, to study pharmacology and manage the general store's pharmacy desk. Murdoch has confirmed they were once a couple but are so no longer, yet they still room together, investigate the entity haunting Echo together, and apparently masturbate together while talking about Sam. Ralph is much less reticent than Murdoch, and frequently attempts to protect Murdoch from being taken advantage of, though he unfortunately can't do anything about the most exploitative people in Murdoch's life, his parents, as he's still an employee.

Ralph is an instance of a type of stock queer character that used to be much more common but has become less so as literature in general has grown more comfortable with the idea that we're real people: the confidante who tells the truth that nobody else will admit because he is the only one with nothing to lose. A lot of the background characters in Evelyn Waugh novels, for example, fit this archetype. While not so very likable, and sometimes outright insulting, his insults and unlikability are still in the service of trying to protect Murdoch, often from himself. He's a co-investigator and co-worker just as much as Sam is, and has been longer. It's perhaps worth a raised eyebrow that he and Murdoch are exes yet still cohabitate, yet it must be admitted that 'remaining friends, sometimes even ones with benefits, after a breakup' is hardly an uncommon situation in queer society: certainly much more than in heteronormative society. Most interestingly, their breakup was apparently occasioned by Ralph going away to college to complete his education: ie, going to Do Something alone, without Murdoch. That brings the score to three.

Which leaves Yao.

Feng Yaolin

is a Huaxian (ie. Chinese) immigrant and a very serious union organizer. He is aloof and businesslike where Nik is affectionate, but he is also queer, if Sam offers him a handjob he accepts with very little coaxing. Yao is deeply dedicated to his ideals and to his mission of building a better life for the mine workers, but he never seems to be particularly friendly with any of them. Even Chang, another Huaxian immigrant, a former miner until he lost fingers in an accident, who to all appearances may have been his partner and might one day be so again, gets little more than 'concern expressed as disapproval.' Some have read Yao as Aromantic, and it may turn out that the text supports this reading.

To place Yao, we need to cover an aspect of Agape that has not yet been mentioned, as it was not at all relevant to the characterization of Nik. Agape is unconditional, universal love, and moreover it is love which seeks the good of the person loved, completely regardless of any benefit to the lover. Other loves aim at the lover's happiness, or the lover and beloved's mutual happiness, but Agape wants good things for the beloved solely because it's good for them to have those things. In this form it has been described as high, cold, inhuman clarity, the kind of mindset that leads people to face firing squads with a smile. So this activist and possible revolutionary may not seem to get any particular  joy out of the steps he takes toward the better future for his community. But his own feelings are irrelevant to the work. He does not mourn. He organizes.

That's all four. Yet  now I realize this may not answer the question. Yes, it may seem likely, if both the main and secondary character of a story are demonstrations of the same genus of love, that this was done deliberately. But it remains perfectly possible that this is exactly what one would expect from a narrative that splits four ways into four different love stories: each of those would have to be about the love specific to Sam and Will/Cliff/Murdoch/Nik, and that love has to be some kind of love. A competent writer will strive to make the different stories feel distinct from one another, and if the human experience of love really is classifiable into four, then those may very well be the lines along which such distinction naturally occurs. This would mean, then, pitting that love against the kind of obstacles and dramatic tensions suitable to it. Which would mean that a secondary character, who would also be concerned with those obstacles and dramatic tensions, would therefore develop organically along similar lines.

But then, the purpose of literature is not to puzzle out the author's secret thoughts, but to experience the story and build an understanding of it that the text supports. And if we can prove nothing else, we have certainly proved it does support a reading themed around this anatomy of the types of love.

CHAPTER 9 - Andy Adler And the Systematic Injustice

(Originally published - Apr 26th 2023)

 

The other day on Twitter there was a screenshot making the rounds. It was of a video made by some lady, talking about how after 21 years of marriage her (now-ex) husband came out to her. If you go and look up the video, you see she's very mature and understanding. The separation was mutual, they're still friends on good terms and intend to fully support one another. But that isn't why the screenshot was going around, what was incendiary was the comments someone had made on it, insisting that the husband--the only person involved who has been given no opportunity to speak for himself--has done something unforgivable. That the wife has been victimized. That he'd 'stolen' twenty years of her life and 'forced her to live a lie.' Some of the replies were even worse, ranging from undisguised eliminationist homophobia, to saying that this proves that oppression of LGBTQ people isn't real (how they think it does that I have no idea), to the really interesting one: the assertion that "if he was gay then he shouldn't have gotten married in the first place."

It's the insistence that there must have existed some 'correct' action, some option that would've made everyone perfectly content, and therefore the hypothetical frightened closeted teen twenty one years ago is fully culpable for not taking it, that I'm gonna start with in a Folding-Ideas-Style apparently completely unrelated segue into what I actually intend to talk about: a minor supporting character in a gay furry porn VN.

Andy Adler is a character in "The Smoke Room," a visual novel by GeorgeSquares published by The Echo Project, a semi-prequel (continuity gets complicated when there's an eldritch abomination that exists outside time) to their much-beloved and eponymous visual novel "Echo." He's not had much screentime as of this writing, and only a handful of lines. He hasn't met the main character and indeed it's likely to become a plot point when he finds out that the main character exists, because, spoilers ahead, the main character is the male sex worker with whom his years-estranged father has fallen in love.

William Adler is the sheriff of a fictional mining boom town in Arizona in 1915. Sex work is legal at this time (which is historically accurate, Arizona did not enact anti-prostitution laws until 1917) but Sodomy is still a felony, which makes the relationship he's been carrying on with Sam, the main character, at first fairly professional but deepening when (if the player chooses to read this route) Sam trusts him to help after he kills another client, trying to beat and rob him, in self-defense. Will was formerly a detective in Chicago, but was forced to leave for reasons that haven't been yet explicated: it's implied he crossed someone important in both local politics and organized crime, but all we've been told for certain was that it would've been very dangerous for him and his family to stay in Chicago, because yes, Will had a wife and a son. Will's very honest that he never felt any romantic or physical attraction to Hattie--he confesses that he spent his wedding day drunk and suicidal--and clearly knew at the time he was gay. While we don't know for certain it's heavily implied that he was having same-sex hookups both before and during the period they were married, but he also tried is best to support and provide for her. When we meet Hattie, when the narrative shifts to Will's perspective, she's clearly still hurt by the separation and doesn't understand why it happened. She seems to have assumed Will left her for another woman. It's unclear to what degree she's here because she wants help, and whether she's come to him for help now because she wants him back, or because she doesn't know who else to turn to. But that's not what we're talking about.

The question is: what does justice look like in this situation?

The text is very clear that Will and Hattie married out of external pressure. Will needed to pass as heterosexual, because he was a cop and being gay was a felony. Hattie, it is implied, needed an escape from an abusive family. The text is clear that Will, at least, was miserable in the marriage. Not only does he confess that his married years featured increasing suicidal ideation, but the difference between the route where the relationship with Sam is teaching him to be emotionally available for the first time in his life and the one where he slips back into old patterns of dealing with Hattie and Andy is sobering. That the marriage happened at all was unjust, to both of them, and indeed the text explicitly says that in a better world it would never have happened at all. (There are 'the same characters set in the present day' holiday specials, in which Will has been comfortably out for most of his life.)

But if the marriage never happens, then Andy doesn't exist.

Andy himself openly despises Will. The only thing the two of them agree on is that they want nothing to do with one another. And it's true that Will has been entirely absent for almost all of Andy's life. Will wasn't a good father. This has led some in the fan community to argue that Will ending his marriage was wrong: he should, in this reading, have been honest with Hattie, come out to her, and found a way to make the family work. They point out that lots of gay men are fathers, and have good relationships with their children.

And yes, that is a possible thing. Nowadays.

But arguing this is to argue that Will doesn't have the right to withdraw consent. That people should be required to remain in marriages against their will. And that queer people should be required to remain in the closet for the sake of straight people. This is where I bring up that the take I mentioned at the start, about how the wife who the man came out to was the real victim? Was from not just a TERF, but the founder of a prominent anti-LGBTQ hate-propaganda outlet. It's not just a bad take, it was an attempt to weaponize the injustice of a situation against the one person in that situation who isn't straight.

Because that's what it boils down to. It's the situation that these people have been put in that's the injustice. Not anything any of them did to navigate and survive it.

Andy, Hattie, and Will have all had less than they ought to. Hattie should have had a supportive and loving marriage and help raising her son. Andy should have had a father. And Will shouldn't have been forced to live a sham of a marriage. Restitution of those claims is mutually exclusive: there's no way to give Hattie and Andy the things they should have had without committing further injustice against Will, and while Will may yet get--for the first time in his life--to experience a relationship, there's no way for him to have gotten there without being unfair to Hattie and Andy. There is no choice, no option that doesn't hurt someone. There never was.

So the fault lies with the society, the system that set up a situation where there's no option that doesn't hurt someone. I think part of this is Just World Fallacy, part of it is residual video-game thinking that won't accept there isn't a way to 'solve' the puzzle, and part of it is just learned privilege defense behavior. We may want there to have been something Will 'should have' done, because that puts the burden of fixing the situation on him, not on the society that put him in that situation. Every one of the Adlers have been wronged, but not by eachother.

An justice is not found in hindsight. Sam can't un-kill Jack. so justice consists not in relitigating what should have happened, but in giving people what they need now, as they are now, not as they would have been in a hypothetical perfect world that never existed.

CHAPTER 10 - ((Medium x Referencing Info) + Pressure) = Manifestation

(Originally published - Oct 20th 2022)

 

I think I've put together some of the metaphysics of Echo/The Smoke Room/Arches. Spoilers contained below.

1) The entity/entities exist within information about them.

      1a) The entity/entities exist in the mass of quartz: they're more real in the mines, 88883 seems to emanate from the huge chunk that Yao has his sights on, they sound like radios, Janice explicitly mentions quartz while explaining the 'Stone Tape' theory or paranormal activity, which, why do that unless the story WANTS you to think about it.

      1b) Murdoch's photos, which have been implicitly compared to the ghost-subtype of entities.

         1b.1) Note that 88883 TALKS through the photo of it. The photo of it = its presence.

      1c) The Meseta cultural taboo on knowing about or speaking about the things that happen inside the Echo circle.

      1d) The implied concealment of knowledge of the hysteria/hum by people who know about it: Carl's mom and the historical documents (though also a selfish motive there), Aunt Mayor removing records that might have told Chase about the hysteria. As a defensive measure? See the 'secrets' implications below.

         1d.1) Might that imply that Dahlia's codes are a quarantine measure? To communicate to people who already know without spreading potentially corruptive info to people who don't already have it?

      1e) Entities that appear in reflections: Flayed Bull behind Will, Mirrorman.

2) This includes, specifically, information about entities stored within the mind, ie memories.

      2a) Entities tend to speak and appear using, and may even be composed of, fragments of memories of other people: Yao's description of Mary's ghost, Oh Spirit's implications about what it's offering the Necromancer, 88883's appearance as people the viewer knows being consumed, Cam's experience in the motel room, Sam's execution hallucination, everything about the Chulpa.

      2b) A cognitiohazard, is I beleive the term.

   2.1) Might that also imply Murdoch's missing time is something intended to be for his own good?

3) When entities appear in photos, and in reflections, and audibly using copied imitations of voices, they can manipulate and alter the contents of their appearance medium.

      3a) This is why drugs alter the manifestations, and why some drugs, and orgasm, shut them down--in the latter cases this presumably introduces enough neurotransmitters that the entity as it exists inside one's memories can't hold the joystick, so to speak.

Therefore) is that, ultimately, the core mechanism of the paranormal manifestation in Echo? That because the entity exists in information which references it, which included people's memories, and can manipulate the contents of information in which it exists, that's HOW it influences people's thoughts?

   ThF.1) This could seem to explain how the degree to which someone is influenced correlates with how much about it they KNOW.

      ThF.1a) The most mentally stable main in smoke room is Cliff, who is new in town, followed by Nik who dismisses ghost stuff as nonsense and doesn't take in interest in things other than his job or Sam, followed by Will who also doesn't believe but has seen too much in the course of his investigations, followed by Murdoch who just plain KNOWS.

      ThF.1b) In Echo the most mentally stable is Jenna, who is committed to remembering echo as little as possible. TJ is moderately stable provided he keeps REPRESSING his memories, the second he starts following the clues he slips into obsession. Carl is drugging himself into mental torpor precisely to prevent remembering entity activity he's personally witnessed (though also to manage his anxiety, which see the equation below.) Leo is putting all of his mind into his memories of Chase and look what that does. Chase has an entity living in his head which can directly control his decisions. And Flynn ultimately reaches a point at which knowing about the entity is the same thing as being an Entity.

4) So, Murdoch destroying the photo implies that destroying the information can, if not destroy the entity, limit its access.

   4.1) Hence the possibility that Yao's plan may kill or seriously injure 88883, if the quartz it is recorded in is sufficiently damaged

Therefore 2) Which is why what the town needs is SECRETS. A secret being a piece of information, which references an entity, which which either one or a very few people have to maintain and PROTECT.

   ThF2.1) Also why note that TELLING the secret diffuses it. As seen in Will's route and TJ's route.

      ThF2.1a) Which might be why Murdoch is a threat: exposure of the secrets could mean they become impotent?

      ThF2.1b) Though also possible that Murdoch's plan isn't exposure, but destruction.

5) Note at this point: Quartz is piezoelectric. it produces an electric charge when subjected to pressure. This is why it's used in electronics, notably for our purposes, radio. Which it is remarked that many entity manifestations SOUND like.

Thesis) So, positing a kind of ((Medium x Referencing Info) + Pressure) = Entity Manifestation equation applies to the phenomena within Echo, especially the mechanics of the Hysteria.

You take a storage medium: quarts, written records, photos, memories. And you put some info that references, even obliquely, the entity, in it. This also PUTS the entity in it. Then, applying some kind of pressure to that info-laden medium produces a manifestation.

The two types of medium that seem to be susceptible to pressure are the quartz--the physical kinetic energy of mining--and memories: social pressure, and emotional pressure. Note that these have been specifically mentioned, by at least one writer, as something the Hum represents. As Micha points out, certain locations are Hum hotbeds--those are places with relevant memories attached, like Bronson's van

Hysteria, then, is (enough pressure) + on (enough secrets) + in (enough minds) = that it reaches criticality and explodes. This RELEASES pressure, because as traumatic as a hysteria is to go through, it's also catharsis for the previously loaded relevant info. Thing witnessed or done during this Hysteria, and records of them, then become Referencing Info in memories, and thus new grounds for the Entity, and thus places where pressure will begin to build to the next Hysteria. Telling the secret defuses this, because it spreads out the pressure and also shuts off (hopefully) some forms of emotional and social pressure being applied.

This may explain why queer people tend to find themselves the focal points of Hysteria. We already keep secrets. We've lived under pressure all our lives.

Finally) The hum is, itself, a manifested phenomena, but it seems to trigger, and is meant to represent the pressure part of the equation.

   F.1) So it's both a product of the equation, and feeds into the next iteration of the equation. it's a feedback loop.

      F.1a) And what does feedback sound like?

A hum.

CHAPTER 11 - Another Layer of Will Theme

(Originally published - Sep 30th 2022)



So last time (chapter 1) we established that there's a "reading tells" theme, ie. body language, eye movement, tails, smells etc. revealing truth that isn't told by what's said, and that it feeds into another theme, "sorting who is and is not really family" to produce a "whether or not someone can read you is how you tell if they are your real family" compound theme.

There's plenty in update 22 that fits this:
- Will's excitement at getting to spend another night with Sam, even if it's only cuddling. "His leg begins to bounce like he can't sit still," and "Did I just see you wag?" Note that Will tries to bluff his way out of the second one, and Sam's gotten good enough at reading Will that he can call it.
- Kane talks about his desire for a job in terms of hunger, of wanting a meal.
- Allllll the things that happen to Marcy, and allllll the things THAT brings to light, which I'm not going to go into here.
- Finally, Will can tell that Todd and Sam got intimate from the smell, which brings us to the actual topic.

Todd can't hide anymore. He's been read.

Todd is apparently oblivious to what it means that Sam is already at Will's, behind a locked door, when he arrives in the morning. "You got here earlier than me two times in a row?" Worth noting that later Todd will admit he DOES know Will and Sam are having sex, so this is a bluff. Apparently to make Will and Sam think he doesn't know when he does, possibly because he's afraid of what he'd have to admit about himself if they knew he knows? So already, Todd is pretending that he can't read tells which he later admits that he CAN.

But let's skip ahead to the pivotal scene. They get into the shed in the first place after Todd has proposed he spend an hour or so getting through the heavy padlock. But then Sam just pulls the entire thing, lock and all, off the door altogether. We'll come back to this.

Once they get inside, the conversation turns to family, the second half of our compound theme. Todd isn't wrong that "Family is supposed to help eachother" but as is typical for him he's deliberately not looking beyond the most basic definition of the word--note this exchange happens RIGHT after they've looked around the shed for less than a minute, Todd's said 'welp, nothing to see here' and Sam's responded 'shouldn't we look closer?' Todd talks about his atypically large family as if it's a universal truth, and is shocked and saddened to hear that Sam is estranged from his, even though the same is doubtless true of the majority of the mining population of Echo and in fact the Bronsons are the anomaly. So Sam is deliberately raising the question "but what is a REAL family, anyway?" which Todd pretends not to understand, and that that rolls directly into The Seduction Of The Innocent, ie. Sam demonstrating that he can READ Todd--his smell, his body language, his nervousness around women, the things he did last time he got excited, his obvious erection--better than the rest of the Bronson family can. And we can presume the Bronsons cannot read Todd, because all the defenses against admitting what he wants Todd repeats are clearly learned from them.

Note that even while trying to distance himself from "thoughts that aint pure" Todd identifies Will as "a father" to him--claiming a familial connection to the people that he's ostensibly trying to avoid connecting himself to. And then he immediately gets... initiated anyway.

Note that afterward, while they're trying to get into the kitchen cellar, Will bypasses the lock the exact same way Sam bypassed the lock on the shed. He doesn't pick or undo the lock, he just removes it from the door entirely. In both cases Todd comments that this is something that it wouldn't have occurred to him to do. But before his 'initiation' to Sam he says so with fear and apprehension, as if bypassing the lock is breaking the rules and something anomalous in Sam. Afterward, when Will does it, Todd's remark that it wouldn't have occurred to him implies ignorance on his part.

A threshold's been crossed. Todd knows Sam can read him better than his family can. And that means he's going to have to learn to read himself.

CHAPTER 12 - Updated Ranked TSR Predictions

(Originally published - Apr 21st 2022)

 

Updating this, since now all routes have had at least one update subsequent to when I wrote it. I've ranked each route, or the person whose route it is, on the likelihood of their turning out to be the one that does certain things.

Spoilers Below. On your own head be it.

Likelihood of Becoming an Antagonist:

Cliff - Previously I said we haven't seen true vulnerability from Cliff. That's no longer the case. But it's still the case that SAM hasn't.
We do know why Cliff is here under an assumed name. The expedition itself is partially a pretense, he's supposed to be here to arrange for a branch railroad with James 3 and the genocidal Rev. Caldwell. If there is an ending, any ending, where Cliff goes through with this plan, chances of his winding up as an antagonist approach 100%, if only because of the impossibility of asking a readership to remain in any way on his side.
On the other hand, this plan is under his given name, not his assumed one, and may therefore function as incentive to abandon it in favor of the Cliff identity permanently.

Will - Does still seem to be Hysteria-vulnerable. Murdoch's, Nik's and his own route clearly show that his perceptions are being assaulted and he's not as mentally stable as he thinks himself to be. Furthermore, the Flayed Bull seems to be haunting him, specifically, and we don't yet know why. Cynthia's escalating animosity, in that she seems to think he still intends to prosecute Sam for Jack's murder, on this route may also become a flashpoint. Divided loyalties to Hattie and Andy, if the reader hasn't succeeded in shaking him free of them, might also erupt. Also as said before, he's still a cop, he still has a gun, he's still used to the idea that killing people is something he's allowed to do.

Nik - While he can be overprotective and combative, and quick to take offence, Will's route has shown that he turns feelings of rejection inward. Withdrawing and brooding rather than lashing out. Note also his reaction to Sam's reluctance to accept his 'proposal,' just calm and practical and reserved and clearly internally heartbroken.
The only likely way, at this point, he becomes a threat to Sam is if Sam has to go into danger to save him.

Murdoch - Being a threat to Sam isn't what he's about as a character. Rather it seems to be being implied that Sam may become a threat to HIM. It's worrying that on his route, the update that would have had his perspective instead had the perspective of a minor deuteragonist. Might they be saving Murdoch's PoV for later, when Sam's no longer under the control of the reader, but under that of the voice that wants Murdoch dead?

 

Likelihood of a Good Ending that Involves a Continued Relationship with Sam:

Nik - I mean, he PROPOSES. Has said that being with Sam forever is what he wants, and intends to do just that if he can seize the means.
I remain convinced that, if an ending made it necessary, he would be psychologically capable of saying goodbye, especially if he had reason to believe doing so would in some way 'save' Sam.
But I am less convinced that this is something that can happen in anything that could be called the 'good' ending. Having that proposal scene lead to the BAD end would be trauma beyond anything Echo managed, even on Leo or Flynn's routes.
I think it's clear he prioritizes 'protecting Sam'  over 'having Sam,' and he doesn't have Leo's possessiveness or jealousy--one can easily see Nik comfortable in a polyam relationship, either involving Yao, or as part of Will's hypothetical 'full polyam'  ending. Leo, on the other hand, at least as we see him in Echo, isn't capable of handling even, like, entry-level non-monogamy. So if Leo is the baseline of the barometer for the possibility of relationships ending amicably, Nik has a non-zero chance.

Murdoch - Murdoch's been taught to be deeply, incurably codependent. Getting him free of his family, at this point, would require forming a bond that Murdoch would himself be incapable of breaking. It's maybe debatable how 'good' that ending is. I suspect Murdoch's REAL good ending is to be found on someone else's route, Cliff's or Will's, where he has the relationship with Cliff. But I can't imagine an ending, to Murdoch's route, in which he doesn't stay with Sam, will be anything but The Bad Ending.

Will - Difficult to call. Being the only route behind one update means that we have the least information about where his character arc is going. IF the rest of his story is more about his learning to be ok with loving SAM, specifically, then chances of their having a lasting relationship post-Good Ending increases. IF, on the other hand, his story is more about learning to be ok with who he is, not in relation to Sam but in relation to Nik, Murdoch, Cliff, Todd, Kane(?) et al. (ie. the hypothetical Poly Route) then likelihood increases of a (not the) Good Ending being some kind of bittersweet goodbye, possibly involving Sam actually recovering his money and finally leaving Echo even if Will does not.

Cliff - Stated need to return to his university, and from there to Batavia, at an indefinite point in the future makes his long term presence less likely. Note also that in every route where Sam is not involved with either Cliff or Murdoch, the two of them become a couple almost automatically and immediately, which means Cliff is likely to have at least one other option, even in a 'Good' ending. Duke's ancestry, however, remains a serious question mark. Another question mark is whether, if the genocidal railroad deal fails, he will be able to return at all: it may be possible that he has no choice but to remain in Echo, and if so I can see no reason why the relationship with Sam would not continue.

 

Likelihood of said Good Ending Relationship leaving Echo:

Murdoch - Ralph specifically claims that leaving Echo is what Murdoch needs, which lines up with Sam's goals. Given that Murdoch's arc would seem to involve his doing what he needs, rather than what his family needs, actually getting to do that would be a suitable payoff.

Nik - Escaping town with the gold was the plan. Discovery of 88883 does not seem to have altered that plan, just made it more risky. A departure from Echo with Sam would still have less to do, thematically, with Nik's story than it would with Murdoch's, though I suppose I could see this being the difference between a "polycule with Yao" route, whose good ending stays and supports the union, and a "monogamous" route, which rides off into the sunset together. Which would imply multiple good endings--the Tarot sequence with Cordelia Hendricks supports this possibility I think--but that's beyond the scope of this current analysis. If the next round of updates continues implying such a possibility then my next update of this list is gonna get a lot more complicated.

Cliff - Assuming that the relationship involves leaving Echo actually significantly increases the chances of it lasting long term, in my opinion. Cliff, if forced to choose between Sam and Murdoch, or between Sam and his studies, would be I think significantly distressed. I'm not sure what he does. In a situation where Sam (and/or Murdoch) are leaving WITH him, I suspect Cliff is not only grateful to have been spared that choice, but is keenly aware of their now being outsiders in HIS world as he once was the outsider in theirs, and is likely to respond with loyalty and responsibility. Duke's ancestry, however, still remains a serious question mark.

Will - Will is the only one about whom no intentions of leaving Echo have ever been expressed. Given that his route may be about his long-delayed integration with Echo's queer community, it would make little sense, if so, for him to leave it behind. His route may also be about his coming out to his family, and if so it would also make little sense for him to leave THEM behind. Janice's ancestry is also a question mark, but less so than Duke, since Andy is already a teenager. Will COULD, theoretically leave and the future ontology of Andy's descendants would be unchanged, whereas Duke's unknown parent has likely not yet been conceived.

 

Likelihood of Not Surviving their Bad Ending:

Nik - The extreme danger, both mundane and supernatural, of the mines has been repeatedly underlined, and this route has been, thusfar, the only one in which it is possible to be "killed" (IF that's what happened) directly by any Entity. On top of which, the amount of peril, for both Nik and Sam, is only going to increase as the Hysteria overflows. Nik has been established to have significant self sacrificing tendencies, and to be more than reasonably concerned about Sam's safety. The fact that the possible futures of his route are apparently either "Judgement" or "The Tower" implies them to be very dangerous indeed.
There's also the way that Nik's is the route in which James 3 is most present as a 'romantic rival,' though hardly one that Sam is taking seriously. It's also the one that contains Brigg's openly advocating violence against his own workers. It's also the one that mentions that James 3's personal security force are all armed. It's also the one that most brings up the presence of James 1 and the house James 3 lives in being haunted: and we know from Carl's route who is haunting that house and what that means for people descended from James 1. This might very well be building to a "James just straight-up has Nik murdered out of jealousy."
Any of the above reasons would be sufficient to make him unlikely to survive a Bad Ending.

Murdoch - His character has thusfar been more about threats to his mental and emotional health than his physical life. The threat hanging over him is being trapped in emotional and financial abuse by his exploitative family forever. The closest that has come to something he couldn't survive is that he is implied to suffer a certain amount of suicidal ideation. The physical danger, thusfar, has been to others, Mary and Melissa for instance. Murdoch is perhaps the likeliest to suffer complete psychological collapse or permanent dissociation, but that's not what's being ranked here.
However, the ??? voice has been by far the most clear, here, about wanting Sam to kill Murdoch. And Murdoch himself has openly expressed that he intends to stick with Sam even if it means that's how things end. The fact that this threat is established at all has to imply there's a reasonable chance of it happening. If the Bad Ending is in fact "Sam tries to kill him," there's a very real chance that Murdoch doesn't bother to defend himself.

Will - He has a gun, we've already seen he's not reluctant to use it, and it's going to be him that everyone looks to when the Hysteria breaks free. Could lead very naturally into his being killed in a riot. On the other hand, a Bad Ending might very well involve his going full Leo and murdering anyone else in the cast, including Sam.
Has also confessed to some suicidal ideation in the past. If his bad ending path involves falling back into the heteronormative sham that was his marriage to Hattie, which is shown in Murdoch's route to cause old habits to reassert themselves, then so may that.
His route's narrative arc, however, has pointed less towards a "lone defender in a town gone mad" kind of ending, and more towards a "uncovering Who Is Behind All This" ending. This may be supported by what Chase discovered about him, and his photograph, in Echo. While this may very well involve a confrontation that could risk his life, it is more likely given the narrative heretofore that he wins that.

Cliff - Significant question marks about what the beast is and what it wants remain. Currently, however, the danger is not to his person, but to his moral integrity. Whatever is going on at the settlement, whatever abusive residential school plot Caldwell is doing, the challenge is for Cliff to divest his own responsibility and expose the abuse. That said, threats to his life might very well arise from his having done that.
Whether the expedition will even return to Echo, whether the route will be affected by the Hysteria at all (or indeed, already has been) is still an open question. Some resolution about what the beast is seems to me still necessary, but it's possible this will come in the form of "it followed them to the settlement."
Worth noting that his being unused to the physical hardships of the environment has been somewhat mentioned. Also, see above remarks regarding Janice and Duke's ancestry, in which regard Will is more disposable than Cliff, with the Caveat that ANY of these routes may be timelines in which Janice or Duke are simply never born.

 

Likelihood of Having 'the Worst' Bad Ending:

Murdoch - He's already hit levels of pain that some Echo routes reached only at their very worst, and he did it nowhere near the hysteria, just by sitting and talking to Sam in a dressing room. This plus the direction the narrative seems to be going, toward finding the true nature of The Entity, what The Necromancer is doing, what happened to Seamus and why Murdoch doesn't remember that day, makes it likely that this is going to continue.
Moreover, if, as looks possible, the Bad Ending involves Possessed Sam going full Shining, then that will be a bad ending to rival Leo's.

Nik - the "Hold You Forever" speech is perfect setup for a some kind of bitterly ironic tragedy. Whether that's Sam and Nik being buried in a mine collapse, such that their bodies are entombed in eachother's arms, or some other kind of tragic subversion.
The proposal scene, also, is heartbreakingly precious, but also contains seeds of the possibility of just plain heartbreak. The 'There is no marriage for people like you and me' line is bittersweet and romantic but it could very well, in hindsight, be taunting a bitterly ironic fate. Also given the judicial equivalent of a mass-shooting the Supreme Court is, at time of this writing, carrying out against the very CONCEPT of human rights, it feels a lot more painfully relevant than I wish it did. 
The preciousness and purity of Nik's love for Sam has been built up very high, and the fall from heights is likely to be dizzyingly precipitous. That said, that is at time of writing no evidence specifically about a bad ending, other than it's presumed contrast to a good ending.

Cliff - This remains the only route that has had anything that could hypothetically become foreshadowing for Sam being executed for Jack's murder after all, in the hallucination of being hanged that the Entity inflicts on Sam while he's unconscious after the Beast's attack. Perhaps notably, in that context, the only route where Will has not given some form of reassurance, even if only very subtle, that he's going to steer the investigation away from Sam.

Will - Will's issues are familiar enough, and on display enough, that while his Bad Ending is likely to have a high body count it's unlikely to be a surprise. There is an inevitability to Will such that, while his good ending (if he has one) is likely to take even him by surprise, his bad ending may very well be said, even in-text, to be something "that was always going to end this way, I suppose." I would say Will's bad ending is more likely to be a Doomed Last Stand than an utter tragedy.

CHAPTER 13 - De Saturnus ut Deitas Patronas, a Dissertation in Fumigantlocology

(Originally published - Apr 7th 2022)

 

Partway through Murdoch's route, Sam gets invited by Murdoch's sister Dahlia to an observatory, where he looks through a telescope at the planet Saturn. Seeing it's rings, and given his lack of education and the era in which he lives, likely learning for the first time that it's rings exist, he comments the series-iconic leitmotif that they are "going in circles." This phrase is actually one of the first things the reader hears when starting Echo, the first novel in the series, as the end of an introductory and somewhat fourth-wall-breaking speech from Sam's ghost--though an unprepared reader would have no way to know this speaker's identity yet--about how there is nowhere to run. The town of Echo is trapped in a repeating cycle, how the character's in the novel can help but return to reenact it, and how the reader, too, in coming back to read another route, to try another set of choices, to get the good ending this time, is "only going in circles."

Tying Saturn to the central theme of the series of visual novels is not done lightly. Saturn is a complicated deity, and all of his complications fit unsettlingly well with the Echo series: in theme, in premise, in plot, in speculative worldbuilding, and even in the characters.

Since we're talking about some in depth thematic analysis, there are going to be spoilers here.

-He Feasts On Everything That We Are-

Saturn is the Roman form of the Greek titan Kronos. The father of Jupiter/Zeus, in classical mythology was the principal god of the previous age of the world, but has been deposed by the rule of his son, principal god of the present age of the world. He was a harvest deity, and a god of Time, which fits when one considers that the principal concern with time for an inhabitant of a bronze to iron age agricultural subsistence civilization would be "making sure that the harvest work happens at the right time."

This harvest association gave him associations with wealth--the treasury of the Roman Republic was entrusted to his protection--but it also associated him with cycles of violence and revenge. In the same way that this year's crop must cut down, "murdered" as it were, so that next year's crop can be sown and grow, Saturn himself overthrew and castrated his own father, Ouranos, principal god of the ultimate primordial age, only to be overthrown by his own son Zeus in the same way. In an early origin story of the god Dionysus, likely associated with Orphic mystery religions, and thematically a very similar deity to Saturn, Hera has the infant Dionysus murdered in an act of ritual dismemberment, or sparagmos, and when he is resurrected from this curses him with madness, out of fear that he will prove to be the next usurper in the cycle. Madness, and temporary periods of violent mass hysteria, are after this part of Dionysus's godly repertoire, precisely as a result of his place within the the Saturnine usurpation cycle.

Saturn's rule was supposedly a golden age of peace and prosperity, where all were equal, possibly an ancestral memory of the early days of agricultural civilization. When the romans, who always wanted to see everyone else's gods as versions of their own, encountered the god worshipped by the peoples of the Levant and Carthage, whom they called "El" or "Ba'al" (which means "The Lord") the Romans saw Saturn. But he is also thought to be by some scholars a version of a proto-indo-european harvest and fertility god, of whom other forms show up in other mythologies. In some celtic practices, also descended from the proto-indo-europeans, there were 'sacred kings,' chieftains and kings whose position was more religious than statecraft, who ruled for a time, said to be married to the land they ruled, and who eventually were sacrificed to ensure its continued agricultural fertility. Or if a disaster befell, for which they were considered responsible, perhaps considerably sooner. Given how old the worship of Saturn already was by the time Roman religion was codified and written down, it is possible that some parts of it are diluted traditional memories of a similar practice: at the holiday of Saturnalia, for example, a multiday festival that upended the social order both in imitation of Saturn's Golden Age but also similarly to Dionysus's mass hysteria, a slave or pauper would be proclaimed king for the duration of the holiday.

In astrology, Saturn is the bringer of melancholy, depression, and misfortune in general.

I promise all this is going to come up. I didn't put anything in this section that I'm not to refer to again later.

-I'm Tired Of This Town-

Sam Ayers, principal viewpoint character of The Smoke Room, is a sex worker in the small mining town of Echo Arizona in the year 1915. He kills a client in self-defense, and then must choose which of his other clients--Cliff the European anthropologist here to study the local Native American traditions, Murdoch the witty and all-but-fully-out son of the general store proprietor, Nik the impoverished miner and would-be union organizer who can only afford to cuddle yet still does so as regularly as he can, or Will the sheriff--he will trust to help him either cover up the evidence or escape town ahead of the noose. But killing Jack has also awakened something, either in the mines, in the town, or in Sam himself, and the law is no longer the only thing pursuing him. That's the premise. Now let's get into the details.

Saturn, as a god of male fertility, is an obvious fit for a sex worker. Moreover, Sam has killed a man and is now being threatened with death in turn, which fits the saturnine cycle of violence. The building tension produced by Jack's death, among the miners and among the townsfolk is implied to be going to crescendo to an event of mass hysteria--more on this when we discuss Echo--which can be stopped only by death of a certain individual, which fits both the Sacred King archetype of Saturn and the dionysian rites of sparagmos. And Sam is clearly suffering from chronic depression.

Most telling, along Will's route, Sam has a conversation with the sheriff, late and alone together in the sheriff's office. Sam is trying to find the courage to talk about the presence that's been haunting him since Jack's killing--which Will has agreed was fully justified and is now actively covering up--and his growing belief that the whole town is cursed or haunted or both, but he knows Will will only think he's crazy, and Sam isn't so sure himself that he isn't. So under he guise of discussing his very fire and brimstone religious views, Sam describes the presence haunting him as if it were God.

"When he makes us in our mother's womb he already knows who we'll be and how we'll die. Right at the very start. And it don't matter if we're good, we're kind, we're cruel, we're callous. We're all just a meal for him. And through the entirety of our lives, he feast on everything that we are."

Sam describes a God that devours his children. Like the Romans, when he sees the Abrahamic God, he immediately recognizes Saturn. And while it remains to be seen if he is right about the Abrahamic God, he is not wrong about at least one of the beings haunting echo. On Nik's route, the ghost of murdered girl lost in the uncharted secret depths of the mines, complains that an unnamed entity known in the fan commentary circles as "88883" is slowly devouring her.

Note, also, that a key component of the mystery rites of Dionysus was intoxication. Drugs make the haunts of Echo less threatening but more visible. Ralph and Murdoch have had success controlling their own experiences with cannabis, but warn that opium makes them more visible.

-This Place Breaks People-

Chase Hunter, principal viewpoint character of Echo, is a college student on spring break in the year 2015, returning to the small town in Arizona where he grew up. The town was all but dead when he was a child there and has only gotten worse, but in addition to reconnecting with his old friends and possibly patching things up with his ex boyfriend, Chase hopes to research and film a historical report on a peculiar incident in the town's history that has since become the stuff of urban legend. Supposedly roughly a hundred years ago, an unsolved murder in the town led to an outbreak of violent mass hysteria, which led many to believe the town itself was cursed. But there is more both to the story, and to Chase's past, than is being told. That's the premise. Here's some details.

As we learn along multiple routes, Chase is himself a killer. As a child, in attempt to protect a friend from bullying, Chase drowned another friend, Sydney. Ever since, Chase has been unknowingly possessed by Sam's ghost (though the exact accuracy of how I just phrased that is even now debated among fans.) Sydney himself had also been possessed by Sam, ever since Sydney's father was shot in a struggle with a rifle as Sydney attempted to interrupt his father's suicide attempt. Sydney's father had also been possessed, ever since he had run over and killed a pedestrian as a teenager. Said pedestrian was an old man, and unbeknownst to Sydney's father, had long ago been a sex worker when Echo was still a mining town.

So immediately we have a cycle of violence, revenge, and usurpation. Just as Saturn usurps Ouranos, Jupiter usurps Saturn, and potentially Dionysus usurps Jupiter, so Sam kills Jack, Sydney's father kills Sam, Sydney (for purposes of the cycle though not intentionally) kills his father, Chase (implied to be under the influence of the general malevolence resident in Echo but it still counts) kills Sydney. Each hands on the burden of the cycle that killed them to their killer.

-The Maenads-

The consequences for this are dire. At the end of the week paranormal incidents are happening more and more frequently, and the people in Echo, including Chase and his friends, are losing hold of their own mental stability. At this point the question "are the things to which people react with fear and violence, that nobody else can see, mere hallucinations or are they in fact real but only visible to their intended victim" loses all practical meaning. Moreover it becomes impossible to leave. Roads leading out of Echo somehow loop back in a way that defies spatial relationships, and without stopping or turning around the group finds themselves driving back toward town instead of away. They are only going in circles.

Now, The Smoke Room is as yet incomplete. It is taken for granted, from the fact that Chase intended to report on a previous incident of hysteria, that Smoke Room will feature a similar incident of Hysteria to that depicted in Echo. It is thus likely safe to assume that the hysteria itself is another cycle, and that this outbreak too is only going in circles. The social order breaks down entirely, into mere Saturnalia and the Mass Hysteria which is the curse of Dionysus. Note that intoxication is still a key component. Carl, habitually and near perpetually stoned on marijuana, comes out of his route arguably the most well adjusted. But meth has made people like Duke and Heather almost entirely defenseless against the Hysteria, and Carl's sole experiment with LSD revealed far, far too much about what was really going on in this town.

On some of the routes, some of the townsfolk of Echo claim to know that the hysteria is happening because someone has committed some crime that has gone unpunished. They are convinced, though we never do find out on what basis or who told them, that if they find the guilty party and kill them, the hysteria will end. In order to assuage disaster, the Sacred King must be sacrificed.

But Chase the only one who assumes that role. Carl, descendent of the town founder and only son of the only rich family in town, is pampered and kept secluded from the town his family has ruled for generations. He's meant to follow a path to maintain his clan's prosperity, a business major, whether he likes it or not, but has failed. And now he is to be an unwitting sacrifice to to chthonic forces tied to his bloodline, in his case the ghost of his own ancestor who possesses him to protect his reputation from exposure of his crimes.

It cannot be forgotten, however, that the sacrifices of Saturn and the Madness of Dionysus are harvest rites. Along TJ's route, when the secret that has been sustaining the town is discovered, after Flynn's death, the voice controlling Chase says that the town needs secrets, and persuades him to conceal it. Having harvested, the town now sows again for the next harvest, to feast on everything we are.

-When Your Arms Were Around Me-

But for all the grimness of the rites, and the heaviness of the curse of hysteria and depression, the horror of what the sacrifice of the sacred king entails, Saturn is also the god of the lost golden age, the prelapsarian age of innocence and peace. It would not be fully unjustified to describe Saturn as the god of Nostalgia.

This is perhaps the most relevant of Saturn's features for a story of a former mining town, slowly collapsing even in its glory days in The Smoke Room, and after industrialization has fully blown away sliding through opioid epidemic and poverty, in Echo, toward being fully a ghost town in Arches. But more than being relevant to the setting and tone, the lost golden age is a major motivating factor for many of the characters.

In The Smoke Room Murdoch is forever pining for the Echo he thought he lived in, and the family he thought he was a member of, as a child. Before his brother drowned (for Saturn always swallows the children,) before his parents knew his orientation, before they replaced him in their affections with the determination to have a respectable son in law as a surrogate. He is so desperate to feel loved again that he regards putting himself at the mercy of whatever being keeps trying to compel Sam to murder him as a fair trade (supposedly those sacrificed to Saturn went willingly.) Similarly, Will has part of his mind, always, on the Chicago of his youth, from which he is exiled after some as yet not fully known encounter with organized crime there. Though his time there was heavily closeted, and trapped in a loveless marriage to a wife who was and remains a stranger, still he keeps his watch set to Chicago time, follows Chicago baseball scores, and waxes rhapsodic about the food he remembers that he cannot get in Echo, even though it's undoubtedly much better in his memory than it actually was in the past. James III, the mine owner and town robber baron, has a perpetual need to live up to the reputation of his father and grandfather (the latter was a serial killer who preyed on indigenous children, Saturn always devours the children, but James III may not know this) a task at which he is failing. Even Harlan, the brothel bartender, has a darkness growing in him, planted in the resentment at the loss of the days when he and Madam Dora and their friends, now gone, travelled as some kind of performance entourage.

In Echo the townsfolk as a whole are haunted daily by the certain knowledge that the past was better. It would take to long to enumerate all the examples here. But in the principal cast there is Flynn, unable to let go of the death of Sydney (Saturn always devours the children.) There is TJ, desperately attempting to remain the version of himself he was before Sydney died. There is Chase himself, the viewpoint character, who cannot let go of the past both in mundane terms in that he can't get up the nerve to actually break up with the boyfriend he left behind in Echo, and in supernatural terms in that he is possessed by Sam's ghost who remembers the town before its collapse (though again, there are grounds for debate as to whether this is really Sam, or an imitation of Sam, but then no nostalgia is ever the same as the past which it nostalgizes, and the reason the lost golden age is golden because it is lost.) And Sam himself, though characterized only briefly in Echo, has the most poignant and succinct summary:

"All the people he loves are dead. But he doesn't want to join them. He just wants them back."

And then there's Leo. Still vehemently in love with Chase, and clinging to the hope that because they never entirely broke up the relationship can be repaired and Chase will come back to him (if they are only going in circles, after all, their paths must intersect again, must they not?) Convinced that the days when he had anything to offer a romantic partner are now past. Unwilling and unable to leave the dying town to follow Chase due to the (partly imagined) necessity of keeping the family business going. So desperately lonely that his desire manifests a being in the shape of the Chase he remembers, and he loses all awareness of the difference between the real Chase and his doppelganger. Leo is the one character for whom, no matter the route, no matter the choices made, no good ending, and no future, exists. All his hopes were in the golden age of his high school days, when he could believe that he and Chase would spend their lives together, when he felt wanted, when his friends needed his help and protection. And now nobody needs him, nobody wants him, and the last person in the world that he believes might possibly ever love him must either leave him once and for all, or die in sparagmos (and in fulfillment of the cycle of violence and revenge of which he is the most recently guilty), at his own hands.

Only at last in Arches do we find characters unconcerned with nostalgia. But then, Cameron and Devon are nothing to do with Echo. They come seeking not the lost golden age, but the madness and intoxication of Orphic Dionysus, that permits journey to the underworld and return. For that is what Echo has now become: the underworld.

-Longest Night-

Ultimately all of Saturn's dark traits, the devouring of children, the human sacrifice, the depression, misfortune, and melancholy, are not to be separated from this idea of the lost golden age. Not only are they the proof that this is not the golden age, but it is the attempt to reclaim that golden age that justifies, or so those who do them claim, the darker traits. Just as the novels take care to show the hauntings and hysteria are not a separate thing from the colonial ambitions that founded the town, and from the yearning for an imagined prosperous idyllic past that never really existed that fuel it's present day collapse. It is one of those points that is easy to miss, not because it is so small in only one part of the text, but because it is omnipresent in every part of the text.

It could be that none of this is intentional. That I'm taking a tiny detail from one episode and blowing it out of proportion to the point that it includes all the setting tone and themes of multiple works. That I'm seeing a pattern not because it's there but because I'm projecting it.

On the other hand... the most commonly encountered legacy, in the modern day, that the god Saturn has left is the name of one of the days of the week. Originally in the roman calendar this was Saturn's Day. Now, each chapter, in each route of Echo, is titled for the day on which it happens. The hysteria, the violent Saturnalia triggered by the cycle of violence and revenge, proceeds differently on each route, but it reaches it's apex on the same day in each.

Saturday.

CHAPTER 14 - As Queer Is To Straight

(Originally published - Feb 3rd 2024)



Spoilers, below, for one of the endings to a Smoke Room route.

We don't know what the entities, in the Echo continuity, are. We likely never will, because we shouldn't. The fear, in cosmic horror, is first and foremost of the unknown, and so the larger we can keep the unknown, the better. A story about eldritch abominations must walk a the very careful line of unveiling to us the readers just enough--that we are all but certain that there is something, out there in the dark, that it's real and it has its own nature, inhospitable and incomprehensible to us, perhaps, but real--and yet not too much--so that whatever it is we are sure is out there, we never get to the point of understanding, of comprehension. The unknown can only remain fearful so long as it never becomes the known.

 So in a well executed cosmic horror, it shouldn't be possible to say things like "this entity is so-and-so" or "that entity does such-and-such," rather the most we should be able to say should be along the lines of "there seems to be an entity whose nature is such as to cause this sort of thing."

 So when I say that the entity here referred to as The Facsimile can, I think, be read as a queer metaphor, I do so on the assumption that this insight may prove to be the deepest look we ever get into what, really, any of the entities of Echo truly are.

The Facsimile

Also known as Sam, Samulation, Belligerent Madness, You, the Voice, or Satan. Though that last is probably with some degree of flippancy. Yet keep it in mind, we'll come back to it.

 The Facsimile is an entity that assumes the forms of various people. Many of whom are dead, but this is not a requirement: it has no trouble assuming Sam's form, and as of the most recent update, Nik's, while both of them remain among the living. It attaches to people, and speaks in their minds, often in a way that they cannot distinguish from their own thoughts, or from intrusive thoughts, but that the reader sees in the 'Belligerent Madness' font. It can assert some degree of control over its host's actions, though this is nowhere near absolute.

 The Facsimile was in fact the first voice we heard in the series, as it opens Echo with its recrimination of both Chase and the reader, "why do you try to run away... just like this town you're only moving in circles." And though for most of Echo the facsimile presents itself as Sam, it will eventually briefly admit that it is not the 'real' Sam, but "just a simulation."

 The Facsimile spends The Smoke Room, thusfar at least, attached to Sam--real Sam--after he kills Jack. It is less wedded to Sam's form than it was in Echo, and more willing to explain itself to him, though its explanations tend to be unilluminating. What we do know can be summed up thusly:

  • It is not merely shapeshifting into the many various people it appears as, it, in some sense, "is" them. It takes on their personalities, it assumes their goals to some extent (TSR, Nik. Echo, Leo.,) and it has their memories (Echo, Leo. Echo, Jenna. Echo, Flynn. TSR, Nik.) It is perhaps more useful to think of it like a reflection of them, or a recording of them, except that it can switch as it wills to being a recording or reflection of many different people in its so-to-speak archive.
  • It can feel desire--or perhaps, see above as the saying goes, it has the memories of having desired--but it is unable to experience satisfaction of those desires (TSR, Nik.)
  • Whatever the facsimile's nature and goals are, they were "supposed to" be something else, though by whom remains to be seen. It was supposed to be "an origin meant to serve as an origin" whatever that means, but it has "decided to be something else" (TSR, Nik.)
  • It seems to want its hosts to bring it to the bottom of the mines, to the crystalline room it calls "the seed" (TSR, Nik.) Why is not fully known, though in one case the result was the death of Flynn and his transfiguration into Socketman (Echo, Flynn.)
  • Wants Murdoch dead for some reason (TSR, Murdoch. TSR, Cliff.)
  • It has antagonistic relationships to some of the other Echo entities: it recoils from the presence of Mirrorman (Echo, TJ's route) and John Begay seems to have a very low opinion of it, though he also seems not fully aware that it and Real Sam are not one and the same (TSR, Cliff. Echo, Carl.) Finally and most importantly, it is vulnerable to 88883, and therefore greatly fears it (Echo, Leo. TSR, Nik.)

And because it seems to be important, we should also sum up

88883

Is an entity that appears (at least to Sam) as a colossal tarantula made of eyeless screaming faces and the dismembered limbs of people he knows. It seems to haunt the mines, specifically. And it seems to in some way consume or assimilate the dead: it very particularly wants to do this to The Facsimile.

  • It appears different to different people as different things. Sam and Mellisa see a spider, (TSR, Murdoch. TSR, Nik) but Nik sees a corpse consumed by luminous mushrooms, (TSR, Nik) and Brian, I argue, sees a UFO (Echo, Leo. Arches.)
  • Doesn't seem to be willing or able to leave the mines.
  • Either less hostile or less volitional than the Facsimile. It sometimes completely ignores people going about their business within its lair.
  • Has celestial associations. More than once its eye pattern has been compared, visually or in-text, to stars. (TSR, Cliff Build Teaser. TSR, Murdoch.)
  • Whatever it is actually doing to those it consumes, the Facsimile describes it as "making you sing."
  • Sam more than once compares it to the Abrahamic god. (TSR, Will. TSR, Nik.)
  • Has stereoscoping text hidden in its associated sound effects, "APART TOO LONG" when it first pursues Sam, and "TOGETHER AT LAST" in another. (TSR files, called in TSR Nik) Keep this in mind as well.

Given all this, plus a few more points yet to be mentioned, I think supports the reading, not that The Facsimile is queer, but that it is more than queer-coded. I think the supported reading is that, as if it were a logic analogy question on the SATs, the Facsimile is to 88883 and by extension the rest of Entity-kind as Queerness is to Heteronormativity.

We Should Not Have To Do Such Things To Survive

Queer existence, and love, in a small town on the fringes of society in the gilded age, is explicitly a theme of the story: it's a pornographic visual novel about a gay sex worker so I should be surprised if this were not the case, of course, but on more than a surface level. Over and over the question is brought up, of what the various characters have had to do to find a place where they can exist. Where they can survive.

Will had to endure a loveless hetero marriage, Murdoch is working himself to death, Cliff is clinging to his studies as an excuse not to return to his family, and Nik spends money he can't afford just to pay a man to let him hold them. And though Sam is managing to live off his sex work, he's so desperate to get out of this town that he lets himself be fooled by Jack into a mugging and a murder.

The town is wrapped in a peculiar, and documentedly historically-accurate, tension between indifferent tolerance and dangerous homophobia. The townsfolk are content to turn a blind eye toward the things the miners do with one another in the back cabins around The Stag, the male-only tavern in a converted barn at the outskirts, which is only partly a holdover from the early days when, like many frontier boom towns, there were literally no women. But the moment anyone openly mentions same-gender attraction or love of any kind, the homophobic beatings are immediate.

Some degree of the closet is necessary, always, for survival. But within those bounds love and happiness are a very practical possibility. It is an understandable tense existence, with plenty of anxiety, only exacerbated by the poverty and precarity in which most of the population is stuck: but it is sustainable. Even if they shouldn't have to, it is possible to continue to live this way for years.

 Now of course, there is always The Hysteria, an outbreak of violence and delusion, as well as supernatural apparitions and entities, and there is The Hum, a continual sonic presence that accompanies mental instability and incomprehensible, ominous hallucination, as well as visions of supernatural things and entities: it may be sustainable but it is not sustainable indefinitely. The Hum, and the Hysteria, and the kind of entity that haunts this town, these have been said to be explicitly homoousion with the anxieties of living under capitalism and queerphobia.

 And that gives us, I think, all the pieces we need.

Asking the Thing In the Closet: Are You Real?

Most recently, Sam has found himself facing one of two possible face-to-face confrontations, finally, with the voice in his head, depending on whether the player chose to trust Yao earlier in Nik's route. If he trusts Yao, then he winds up confronting the facsimile in what looks like his childhood bedroom. If he does not, he confronts it in what appears to be the closet in Jack's apartment in Paris.

 The former has plenty of queer subtext: this thing invited Sam up to its/his/their bedroom. It masturbates to completion, though it specifies that while it can feel the desire, or it has the memory of feeling desire which may for all practical purposes be the same thing, it cannot feel any satisfaction of desire. It explains that it is not merely disguised as Sam, it is Sam, in every sense that is meaningful from its perspective, and therefore by definition must be queer. So there is plenty of queer material there, and it will be useful, later, to examine the scene for insight to the Facsimile's motivations.

 But it is the other scene around which the interpretation can crystalize. The Facsimile that appears in Jack's Parisian closet is angry and fearful. It wants Sam to stay quiet, to not attract attention, because in the physical world, where Sam's body is, 88883 has returned, and is looking for the Facsimile. It's brought Sam's mind into someone else's memories in the hopes of hiding, and insists Sam join it in the closet.

 The conversation is framed very like a seduction: it is asking Sam to trust it with his body. As it encroaches on him Sam feels not pain but numbness, and absence, which we know from the bedroom scene is what the Facsimile feels instead of pleasure or sexual satisfaction. It is also worth noting that it has to adopt a form to communicate, as Sam puts it "it has to look like me to keep talking." It cannot express itself in its entity-form, which it was assigned at whatever beings such as it have instead of birth--assigned at origin, perhaps--but only in the forms it has stolen, which it insists are nonetheless 'real faces.'

 It can be no accident that it is doing all this from a closet: it explicitly says that Sam should be used to the idea of hiding to survive, since he is "a faggot." It draws the paralel itself.

This is not to say the Facsimile is benevolent: it is clear that whatever else this thing intends by dragging him into the closet, Real Sam's mind and personality isn't going to survive it.

But it has every reason to fear.

He Feasts On Everything We Are

When Sam does manage to wake, he finds 88883 has pulled the Facsimile from him, with considerable damage to Sam himself in the process, and is even now devouring it. This is the point at which a spectrogram will again reveal words in its sound effect: 'TOGETHER AT LAST.'

 It is worth reiterating that Nik earlier described his appearance of 88883 as the corpse of an old friend, consumed by luminous fungus. Speculation is notorious that when he says "old friend" he means "one-time lover." Which means he would have seen, not a spider crouched over it's prey, but a dead former lover astride an unconscious current one. There is no part of this free from queer subtext.

 Whether 88883 would have devoured Sam as well, as the Facsimile warned, we do not get a chance to discover.

 So what are 88883 and The Facsimile to eachother?

 Returning to the Sam's Bedroom scene, we find several useful things among the Facsimile's remarks. When asked what it is, it says "an origin meant to serve as an origin" but that it "decided to be something else." "Meant to" is the operative phrase here, I think. It brings up the desires it's inherited from the people it became/stole/reflected, and says that ultimately its goal is survival.

 Its fears are not ill-founded. But note that, after Sam has described all the mouths on 88883's body as singing, The Facsimile refers to the prospect of it devouring Sam as "making you sing for it," which gives 88883 connotations of performative conformity.

 So on the one hand, we have the shapeshifter archetype, who insists, and seems to be telling the truth, that all the people it becomes are its real selves, and that it has no 'true' form other than those it becomes, though the 'face it hasn't stolen' is more like 88883 than like any of the things it becomes. The memories of desire it has assumed from them, explicitly sexual and queer ones especially, which it cannot satisfy, have determined it not to do whatever it was meant to do, and instead to 'survive.'

 On the other hand we have this coercive collective, being devoured by which is to be forced to "sing for it," which seems to act by reactive impulse rather than intention like an animal or like a mob, which is regularly and explicitly compared to the Abrahamic god, which seeks some form of reunion with The Facsimile. A reunion The Facsimile rejects as a matter of survival.

 It's not hard to see the queer self-identity vs. enforced heteronormativity applicability here. It is perhaps not to be wondered at, that a century later, even after a chain of other possessions, the Facsimile retains and returns to the form and identity of a queer sex worker.

The Vehemence of Its Love

Earlier in Nik's route, Sam gets a Tarot reading from a friendly Spiritist. While the ultimate meanings of the cards are likely to remain obscure until Nik's route is finished, and possibly until the entire novel is complete, I think this framework allows us to tease out one meaning of a particular pair.

 Recall that the Sam's Bedroom scene is along one subroute, and the Jack's Closet along another. The conditions for one or the other also determine the cards drawn: along the Sam's Bedroom sub-route, you'll draw The Devil, while along the Jack's Closet route you'll draw The Lovers. The nice spiritist lady doing the reading explains that this means, on the one hand, indulgence in pleasure, and on the other, lasting union, and she's not wrong per se: The Devil by this interpretation could very well apply to the developing polyamorous relationship that includes Yao, whereas The Lovers would be Nik and Sam by themselves. But this is a cosmic horror, and will clearly therefore not ignore the chance to insert other, more obscure, more unsettling implications, of which even the oracle is ignorant, into any divination.

 Note that, in the illustration of The Lovers card, God looms over the pair, in the same position as The Devil.

 So we have The Devil on the sub-route on which The Facsimile--whom Sam's narrative voice addresses as 'Satan,'--more than queer-coded, dedicated to its refusal to be consumed and to remain the self that desires the love, the hunger, and the sexuality it can't experience, wins. And we have the Abrahamic God on the sub-route where 88883--whom Sam's narrative voice suspects might be a god "of a sort,"--the celestial-associated choir of devouring conformity that neither understands nor cares why The Facsimile had separated itself and only wants to take it back by force.

 The Facsimile may confess itself "just a simulation" of the many queer men, over the centuries, whom it has become. And it may speak truly. But it also speaks truly when it says these are all its real faces, its real selves.

 And when, in the very first words we hear from this world, it describes Echo as a circle which it cannot escape, it is speaking both in the sense of blind heteronormative oppression, and of the eldritch abomination stalking the haunted mines. They are the same thing.

 We cannot know what these entities are. Such knowledge is incompatible with the premise of the story. But we can know that one of them, at least, is real, because it is analogous to us in being looked at as satanic by the uncomprehending, and in knowing how to survive in a closet.

Update: To the End, To the End, They Remain

Post build 35: "Steady and Aglow" we have a little more information that's maybe relevant.

 The Abrahamic theming of 88883 is now much more prominent:

  • It says the words "Be Not Afraid" standard angelic greeting in scripture and, as so many youth ministers are fond of pointing out, the most common imperative in the entire bible.
  • It rescues Sam from the mine fire with a phrase eerily similar to a quote from the book of Job: "For this time in solitude you are saved" which is very close to the "And I alone am escaped to tell thee." Not use of the word "Saved." Also note Sam's fate, post 'rescue' is itself very Jobian. Everyone he loves is dead, he is left alone in the desert, having been given nothing in exchange but the experience of having met "god."
  • The one constant, 88883 maintains, is "There Will Be a Meal." Which, expressed more eloquently, might be phrased "give us this day our daily bread."
  • Sam's narration concludes this ending--weary, lonely, embittered, apathetic--with the word "Amen."

 Even more notable, however, is not what 88883 says, but in what font it speaks. Because this is the first time we've clearly seen 88883 speak to someone, and it does so in Mirrorman font. This, I suspect, all but completely confirms the theory that
1) 88883 is The Entity with a capital The,
2) Mirrorman (or possibly mirrormen) are emanations of it, meant to reflect the forms and influence the thoughts of people to bring about the deaths upon which the entity sustains itself: ie "This Town Needs Secrets." This is what they are doing in both Echo (Tj's route) to Chase and in Arches (to Dev on the timeline where Cameron died.)
3) The Facsimile is a mirrorman that took on too much of the people it was reflecting, Sam in particular, and thus gained his desires and self-preservation drive and so is no longer doing as it should.

This not only much more clearly makes 88883 the ironic, Ahrimanic anti-God, it makes The Facsimile very clearly a Rebel Angel. Ie. the Devil.

CHAPTER 15 - Updated Ranked Predictions after First Route End.

Now that we've seen Nik's bad end it will actually be possible to ANSWER some of these. You can see my previous takes on these in chapters above. Due to the update schedule that focused on Nik's route, I'll skip any predictions about which no new info has emerged since I last wrote on them.


Likelihood of Becoming an Antagonist:

Cliff - No change.

Murdoch - Being a threat to Sam isn't what he's about as a character. Rather it seems to be being implied that Sam may become a threat to HIM. It's worrying that on his route, the update that would have had his perspective instead had the perspective of a minor deuteragonist. Might they be saving Murdoch's PoV for later, when Sam's no longer under the control of the reader, but under that of the voice that wants Murdoch dead?

Will - He seems to be Hysteria-vulnerable: his perceptions are being assaulted and he's not as mentally stable as he thinks himself to be.
Previously I thought the Flayed Bull seemed to be haunting him, specifically, but I don't beleive this to be the case. I beleive it is in fact haunting Harlan, and has only begun to be curious about Sam since he started carrying the Facsimle and therefore can be aware of the Flayed Bull.
Cynthia's animosity has cooled: she seems, if still disapproving, willing to cooperate with Will in the face of the threat Harlan's creepiness poses, and appears at least partially convinced Will's love for Sam is genuine.
What happens to Will in Nik's bad end, however, bumps him down I won't say it's impossible, but he put himself between Sam and Nik and danger even at the cost of his own life, so I don't forsee a more dire trial than that.

Nik - If it didn't happen on the bad end, it won't. Lowest possible score.

 

Likelihood of a Good Ending that Involves a Continued Relationship with Sam:

Nik - After THAT bad an ending, his good ending kinda HAS TO, right? Though also, see Will.

Murdoch - No change.

Will - Very much complicated by the internal confession that, not only, yes, he loves Sam in the in-love-with sense, but that he loves NIK. But I'm not certain this alters his chances enough to change the ranking: because while the "finish the case, retire, leave Echo together" plan has been broached, it's also raised the possibility of that plan being carried out WITHOUT Sam, should the worst of the hysteria fall on him. But if that does happen it could hardly be "the good end."

Cliff - No change. Duke's ancestry has, however, been proven irrellevant. No timeline depicted in The Smoke Room leads to the events of Echo, so his ontology is unaffected by Cliff's presence/absence in of the routes.

 

Likelihood of said Good Ending Relationship leaving Echo:

Nik - Escaping town with the gold was the plan. The bad end didn't even see them get to TRY, which means all the questions about the plan--what is up with Yao and Chang's past, can they get the gold out, is Nik gonna be ok "sharing" Sam with Yao--have only "good end" routes to resolve themselves in, and answering them requires at least an ettmept to leave tone. Contrary to my prediction, this next update got less complicated, not more.

Will - Will quitting and leaving town with Nik and Sam has been explicitly proposed, and he's even agreed to do it.

Murdoch - Ralph specifically claims that leaving Echo is what Murdoch needs. Sam's goal is to leave. Murdoch's arc would seem to involve his doing what he needs, rather than what his family needs, which is implied to be leaving. Note however that another thumb on the "Murdoch should leave Echo" side of the scale is Holly's and makes the good end/bad end dichotomy less distinct.

Cliff - No change.

 

Likelihood of Not Surviving their Bad Ending:

Nik - Confirmed.

Murdoch - His character has thusfar been more about threats to his mental and emotional health than his physical life. The threat hanging over him is being trapped in emotional and financial abuse by his exploitative family forever. The closest that has come to something he couldn't survive is that he is implied to suffer a certain amount of suicidal ideation. The physical danger, thusfar, has been to others, Mary and Melissa for instance. Murdoch is perhaps the likeliest to suffer complete psychological collapse or permanent dissociation, but that's not what's being ranked here.
However, the ??? voice has been by far the most clear, here, about wanting Sam to kill Murdoch. And Murdoch himself has openly expressed that he intends to stick with Sam even if it means that's how things end. The fact that this threat is established at all has to imply there's a reasonable chance of it happening. If the Bad Ending is in fact "Sam tries to kill him," there's a very real chance that Murdoch doesn't bother to defend himself.

Will - Unclear to my mind whether his death in Nik's bad ending makes him more or less likely to die in his own. On the one hand, if he did that'd be retreading narrative ground already covered. On the other, it would be consistant.

Cliff - No change.

 

Likelihood of Having 'the Worst' Bad Ending:

Nik - Not gonna lie, this is going to be tough to beat.

Murdoch - No change.

Cliff - No change.

Will - No change.